Maris Tech Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

MTEK Stock  USD 1.80  0.09  5.26%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Maris Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 1.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.24. Maris Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Maris Tech's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Maris Tech's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Maris Tech fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Maris Tech's Inventory Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is expected to rise to 2.06 this year, although the value of Receivables Turnover will most likely fall to 1.28. . The value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to slide to about 7.4 M. Net Loss is expected to rise to about (3.2 M) this year.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Maris Tech works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Maris Tech Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Maris Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 1.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Maris Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Maris Tech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Maris Tech Stock Forecast Pattern

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Maris Tech Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Maris Tech's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Maris Tech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 4.95, respectively. We have considered Maris Tech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.80
1.78
Expected Value
4.95
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Maris Tech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Maris Tech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0061
MADMean absolute deviation0.038
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0202
SAESum of the absolute errors2.2397
When Maris Tech prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Maris Tech trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Maris Tech observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Maris Tech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maris Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Maris Tech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.714.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.514.61
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Maris Tech

For every potential investor in Maris, whether a beginner or expert, Maris Tech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Maris Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Maris. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Maris Tech's price trends.

Maris Tech Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Maris Tech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Maris Tech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Maris Tech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Maris Tech Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Maris Tech's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Maris Tech's current price.

Maris Tech Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Maris Tech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Maris Tech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Maris Tech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Maris Tech entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Maris Tech Risk Indicators

The analysis of Maris Tech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Maris Tech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting maris stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Maris Tech is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Maris Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Maris Tech Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Maris Tech Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Maris Tech to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Maris Stock please use our How to buy in Maris Stock guide.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Maris Tech. If investors know Maris will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Maris Tech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.03)
Revenue Per Share
0.884
Quarterly Revenue Growth
6.197
Return On Assets
(0.03)
Return On Equity
(0.04)
The market value of Maris Tech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Maris that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Maris Tech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Maris Tech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Maris Tech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Maris Tech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Maris Tech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Maris Tech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Maris Tech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.