MTU Aero Pink Sheet Forward View
| MTUAY Stock | USD 223.72 3.14 1.42% |
MTU Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of MTU Aero's share price is at 54. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling MTU Aero, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using MTU Aero hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MTU Aero Engines from the perspective of MTU Aero response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MTU Aero Engines on the next trading day is expected to be 220.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 155.75. MTU Aero after-hype prediction price | USD 223.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MTU |
MTU Aero Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MTU price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MTU using various technical indicators. When you analyze MTU charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MTU Aero Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MTU Aero Engines on the next trading day is expected to be 220.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.55, mean absolute percentage error of 10.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 155.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MTU Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MTU Aero's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MTU Aero Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MTU Aero | MTU Aero Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
MTU Aero Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MTU Aero's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MTU Aero's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 218.60 and 221.55, respectively. We have considered MTU Aero's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MTU Aero pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MTU Aero pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.4968 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.5533 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.012 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 155.7517 |
Predictive Modules for MTU Aero
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MTU Aero Engines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MTU Aero After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MTU Aero at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MTU Aero or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of MTU Aero, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MTU Aero Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MTU Aero's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MTU Aero's historical news coverage. MTU Aero's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 222.24 and 225.20, respectively. We have considered MTU Aero's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MTU Aero is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MTU Aero Engines is based on 3 months time horizon.
MTU Aero Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MTU Aero is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MTU Aero backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MTU Aero, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
223.72 | 223.72 | 0.00 |
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MTU Aero Hype Timeline
MTU Aero Engines is now traded for 223.72. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. MTU is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on MTU Aero is about 14800.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 223.72. The book value of the company was now reported as 27.15. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.19. MTU Aero Engines last dividend was issued on the 6th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MTU Aero to cross-verify your projections.MTU Aero Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MTU Aero's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MTU Aero's future price movements. Getting to know how MTU Aero's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MTU Aero may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DUAVF | Dassault Aviation SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.67 | 0.09 | 5.75 | (4.99) | 15.42 | |
| NSKFF | Kongsberg Gruppen ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.31 | 0.06 | 5.76 | (5.84) | 16.72 | |
| SGGKY | Singapore Technologies Engineering | 0.13 | 14 per month | 1.53 | 0.11 | 4.77 | (4.02) | 12.09 | |
| SGGKF | Singapore Technologies Engineering | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.38 | 0.08 | 5.55 | (2.98) | 17.81 | |
| HOCFF | HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft | (0.62) | 14 per month | 2.10 | 0.19 | 4.66 | (3.79) | 12.55 | |
| KHNGF | Kuehne Nagel International | 0.13 | 8 per month | 1.38 | 0.11 | 4.72 | (1.98) | 10.40 | |
| TTNDF | Techtronic Industries | 0.13 | 3 per month | 2.66 | 0.05 | 7.43 | (5.51) | 14.55 | |
| KHNGY | Kuehne Nagel International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.13 | 2.84 | (2.28) | 7.08 | |
| EPIPF | Epiroc AB | 0.13 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.40 | |
| BOMBF | Bombardier | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 109.61 |
Other Forecasting Options for MTU Aero
For every potential investor in MTU, whether a beginner or expert, MTU Aero's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MTU Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MTU. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MTU Aero's price trends.MTU Aero Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MTU Aero pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MTU Aero could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MTU Aero by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MTU Aero Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MTU Aero pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MTU Aero shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MTU Aero pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify MTU Aero Engines entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
MTU Aero Risk Indicators
The analysis of MTU Aero's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MTU Aero's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mtu pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Variance | 2.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.63 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.56 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for MTU Aero
The number of cover stories for MTU Aero depends on current market conditions and MTU Aero's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MTU Aero is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MTU Aero's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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MTU Aero Short Properties
MTU Aero's future price predictability will typically decrease when MTU Aero's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MTU Aero Engines often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MTU Aero's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MTU Aero's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 885 M |
Additional Tools for MTU Pink Sheet Analysis
When running MTU Aero's price analysis, check to measure MTU Aero's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MTU Aero is operating at the current time. Most of MTU Aero's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MTU Aero's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MTU Aero's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MTU Aero to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.