MTY Food Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| MTYFF Stock | USD 31.24 0.19 0.61% |
MTY Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MTY Food's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of MTY Food's pink sheet price is roughly 69. This indicates that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of 27th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling MTY, making its price go up or down. Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using MTY Food hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MTY Food Group from the perspective of MTY Food response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MTY Food Group on the next trading day is expected to be 31.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.88. MTY Food after-hype prediction price | USD 31.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MTY |
MTY Food Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MTY price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MTY using various technical indicators. When you analyze MTY charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MTY Food Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MTY Food Group on the next trading day is expected to be 31.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.88.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MTY Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MTY Food's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MTY Food Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MTY Food | MTY Food Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
MTY Food Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MTY Food's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MTY Food's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.84 and 33.84, respectively. We have considered MTY Food's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MTY Food pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MTY Food pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0512 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3709 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0138 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.8817 |
Predictive Modules for MTY Food
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MTY Food Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MTY Food After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MTY Food at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MTY Food or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of MTY Food, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MTY Food Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MTY Food's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MTY Food's historical news coverage. MTY Food's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.55 and 33.55, respectively. We have considered MTY Food's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MTY Food is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MTY Food Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
MTY Food Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MTY Food is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MTY Food backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MTY Food, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0 Events / Month | 12 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
31.24 | 31.05 | 0.00 |
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MTY Food Hype Timeline
MTY Food Group is now traded for 31.24. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.3. MTY is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.45%. %. The volatility of related hype on MTY Food is about 372.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.54. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of MTY Food was now reported as 28.81. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MTY Food to cross-verify your projections.MTY Food Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MTY Food's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MTY Food's future price movements. Getting to know how MTY Food's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MTY Food may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Other Forecasting Options for MTY Food
For every potential investor in MTY, whether a beginner or expert, MTY Food's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MTY Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MTY. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MTY Food's price trends.View MTY Food Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MTY Food Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MTY Food pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MTY Food shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MTY Food pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify MTY Food Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 31.24 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 31.24 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.095 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.19 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 69.54 |
MTY Food Risk Indicators
The analysis of MTY Food's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MTY Food's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mty pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.42 | |||
| Variance | 5.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.37 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.83) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for MTY Food
The number of cover stories for MTY Food depends on current market conditions and MTY Food's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MTY Food is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MTY Food's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in MTY Pink Sheet
MTY Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether MTY Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MTY with respect to the benefits of owning MTY Food security.