Micron Technology Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| MU Stock | USD 312.15 3.27 1.04% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Micron Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 316.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 519.79. Micron Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Micron Technology's share price is below 30 at this time. This indicates that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Micron Technology, making its price go up or down. Momentum 26
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.754 | EPS Estimate Current Year 32.2201 | EPS Estimate Next Year 39.387 | Wall Street Target Price 305.2895 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 3.9397 |
Using Micron Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Micron Technology from the perspective of Micron Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Micron Technology using Micron Technology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Micron using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Micron Technology's stock price.
Micron Technology Short Interest
An investor who is long Micron Technology may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Micron Technology and may potentially protect profits, hedge Micron Technology with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 149.1485 | Short Percent 0.0224 | Short Ratio 1.01 | Shares Short Prior Month 22.9 M | 50 Day MA 242.2658 |
Micron Technology Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Micron Technology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Micron. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Micron can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Micron Technology. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Micron Technology's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Micron Technology.
Micron Technology Implied Volatility | 0.8 |
Micron Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Micron Technology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Micron Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Micron Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Micron Technology's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Micron Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 316.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 519.79. Micron Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 316.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Micron Technology to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Micron Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Micron Technology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Micron Technology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Micron Technology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Micron Technology's open interest, investors have to compare it to Micron Technology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Micron Technology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Micron. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Micron Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Micron price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Micron using various technical indicators. When you analyze Micron charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Micron Technology Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Micron Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 316.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.81, mean absolute percentage error of 122.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 519.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Micron Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Micron Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Micron Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Micron Technology | Micron Technology Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Micron Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Micron Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Micron Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 312.64 and 321.17, respectively. We have considered Micron Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Micron Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Micron Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.8826 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 8.8099 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0373 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 519.7867 |
Predictive Modules for Micron Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Micron Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Micron Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Micron Technology
For every potential investor in Micron, whether a beginner or expert, Micron Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Micron Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Micron. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Micron Technology's price trends.Micron Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Micron Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Micron Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Micron Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Micron Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Micron Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Micron Technology's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Micron Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Micron Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Micron Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Micron Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Micron Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1.7 M | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.20) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 317.54 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 315.74 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (7.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.27) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 26.6 |
Micron Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Micron Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Micron Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting micron stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.42 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.29 | |||
| Variance | 18.4 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.82 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.35 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.12) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Micron Stock Analysis
When running Micron Technology's price analysis, check to measure Micron Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Micron Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Micron Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Micron Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Micron Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Micron Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.