Münchener Rückversicherung Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MURGF Stock | USD 599.35 22.16 3.57% |
Münchener Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Münchener Rückversicherung's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Münchener Rückversicherung's share price is approaching 45. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Münchener Rückversicherung, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Münchener Rückversicherung hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mnchener Rckversicherungs Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft from the perspective of Münchener Rückversicherung response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mnchener Rckversicherungs Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 603.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 13.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 823.16. Münchener Rückversicherung after-hype prediction price | USD 599.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Münchener |
Münchener Rückversicherung Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Münchener price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Münchener using various technical indicators. When you analyze Münchener charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Münchener Rückversicherung Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mnchener Rckversicherungs Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 603.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 13.49, mean absolute percentage error of 274.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 823.16.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Münchener Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Münchener Rückversicherung's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Münchener Rückversicherung Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Münchener Rückversicherung | Münchener Rückversicherung Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Münchener Rückversicherung Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Münchener Rückversicherung's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Münchener Rückversicherung's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 600.20 and 605.93, respectively. We have considered Münchener Rückversicherung's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Münchener Rückversicherung pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Münchener Rückversicherung pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.7249 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.88 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 13.4944 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0213 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 823.1612 |
Predictive Modules for Münchener Rückversicherung
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Münchener Rückversicherung. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Münchener Rückversicherung After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Münchener Rückversicherung at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Münchener Rückversicherung or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Münchener Rückversicherung, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Münchener Rückversicherung Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Münchener Rückversicherung's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Münchener Rückversicherung's historical news coverage. Münchener Rückversicherung's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 596.49 and 602.21, respectively. We have considered Münchener Rückversicherung's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Münchener Rückversicherung is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Münchener Rückversicherung is based on 3 months time horizon.
Münchener Rückversicherung Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Münchener Rückversicherung is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Münchener Rückversicherung backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Münchener Rückversicherung, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 2.87 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
599.35 | 599.35 | 0.00 |
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Münchener Rückversicherung Hype Timeline
Münchener Rückversicherung is now traded for 599.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Münchener is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Münchener Rückversicherung is about 2314.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 599.35. About 44.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.99. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Münchener Rückversicherung has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.19. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 21.3. The firm last dividend was issued on the 29th of April 2022. Münchener Rückversicherung had 506:481 split on the 17th of November 2003. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Münchener Rückversicherung to cross-verify your projections.Münchener Rückversicherung Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Münchener Rückversicherung's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Münchener Rückversicherung's future price movements. Getting to know how Münchener Rückversicherung's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Münchener Rückversicherung may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SSREY | Swiss Re | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.75 | (2.12) | 8.68 | |
| SSREF | Swiss Re AG | 1.24 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.38 | (3.78) | 7.72 | |
| TKOMF | Tokio Marine Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.06 | 0.02 | 13.20 | (11.69) | 28.99 | |
| EBKDY | Erste Group Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.76 | 0.28 | 3.25 | (1.80) | 8.44 | |
| PSTVY | Postal Savings Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.29 | (0) | 3.89 | (5.22) | 18.75 | |
| MZHOF | Mizuho Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.07 | 0.17 | 4.81 | (4.38) | 27.97 | |
| SCRYY | SCOR PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.54 | (0.03) | 3.28 | (3.94) | 15.79 | |
| TKOMY | Tokio Marine Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.07 | (2.64) | 13.01 | |
| CAIXY | Caixabank SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.12 | 0.20 | 2.72 | (2.41) | 6.73 | |
| CIXPF | CaixaBank SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 2.85 | (0.24) | 13.44 |
Other Forecasting Options for Münchener Rückversicherung
For every potential investor in Münchener, whether a beginner or expert, Münchener Rückversicherung's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Münchener Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Münchener. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Münchener Rückversicherung's price trends.Münchener Rückversicherung Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Münchener Rückversicherung pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Münchener Rückversicherung could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Münchener Rückversicherung by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Münchener Rückversicherung Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Münchener Rückversicherung pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Münchener Rückversicherung shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Münchener Rückversicherung pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Mnchener Rckversicherungs Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Münchener Rückversicherung Risk Indicators
The analysis of Münchener Rückversicherung's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Münchener Rückversicherung's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting münchener pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.93 | |||
| Variance | 8.57 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Münchener Rückversicherung
The number of cover stories for Münchener Rückversicherung depends on current market conditions and Münchener Rückversicherung's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Münchener Rückversicherung is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Münchener Rückversicherung's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Münchener Rückversicherung Short Properties
Münchener Rückversicherung's future price predictability will typically decrease when Münchener Rückversicherung's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mnchener Rckversicherungs Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Münchener Rückversicherung's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Münchener Rückversicherung's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 140.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 171.2 B |
Other Information on Investing in Münchener Pink Sheet
Münchener Rückversicherung financial ratios help investors to determine whether Münchener Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Münchener with respect to the benefits of owning Münchener Rückversicherung security.