Munivest Fund Fund Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| MVF Fund | USD 7.02 0.04 0.57% |
Munivest Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Munivest Fund's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 31st of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Munivest Fund's share price is at 59. This indicates that the fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Munivest Fund, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Munivest Fund hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Munivest Fund from the perspective of Munivest Fund response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Munivest Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 7.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.73. Munivest Fund after-hype prediction price | USD 7.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Munivest |
Munivest Fund Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Munivest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Munivest using various technical indicators. When you analyze Munivest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Munivest Fund Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Munivest Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 7.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Munivest Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Munivest Fund's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Munivest Fund Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Munivest Fund | Munivest Fund Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Munivest Fund Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Munivest Fund's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Munivest Fund's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.55 and 7.49, respectively. We have considered Munivest Fund's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Munivest Fund fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Munivest Fund fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.6538 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0052 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0288 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0042 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.73 |
Predictive Modules for Munivest Fund
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Munivest Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Munivest Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Munivest Fund After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Munivest Fund at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Munivest Fund or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Munivest Fund, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Munivest Fund Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Munivest Fund's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Munivest Fund's historical news coverage. Munivest Fund's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.55 and 7.49, respectively. We have considered Munivest Fund's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Munivest Fund is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Munivest Fund is based on 3 months time horizon.
Munivest Fund Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Munivest Fund is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Munivest Fund backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Munivest Fund, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 5 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.02 | 7.02 | 0.00 |
|
Munivest Fund Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January Munivest Fund is traded for 7.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.06. Munivest is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Munivest Fund is about 33.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.08. About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.73. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Munivest Fund last dividend was issued on the 13th of October 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Munivest Fund to cross-verify your projections.Munivest Fund Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Munivest Fund's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Munivest Fund's future price movements. Getting to know how Munivest Fund's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Munivest Fund may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MYN | Blackrock Muniyield New | 0.04 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.80 | (0.70) | 1.82 | |
| MUA | Blackrock Muniassets Closed | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.66 | (0.03) | 1.22 | (1.24) | 4.65 | |
| MYD | Blackrock Muniyield | (0.05) | 2 per month | 0.41 | (0.07) | 0.96 | (0.78) | 2.49 | |
| MIY | Blackrock Muniyield Mi | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.30 | 0.05 | 1.20 | (0.77) | 3.11 | |
| MHN | Blackrock Muniholdings Ny | 0.02 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.79 | (0.88) | 2.94 | |
| FRA | Blackrock Floating Rate | (0.05) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.03 | (1.10) | 2.86 | |
| WMICX | Wasatch Micro Cap | 13.83 | 5 per month | 1.04 | 0.03 | 1.52 | (1.79) | 4.97 | |
| PRLAX | T Rowe Price | 0.31 | 1 per month | 0.85 | 0.29 | 2.29 | (1.28) | 6.81 | |
| MHD | Blackrock Muniholdings Closed | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.37 | (0.06) | 0.85 | (0.61) | 1.96 | |
| GCBLX | Green Century Balanced | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.45 | (0.11) | 0.73 | (0.74) | 2.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for Munivest Fund
For every potential investor in Munivest, whether a beginner or expert, Munivest Fund's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Munivest Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Munivest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Munivest Fund's price trends.Munivest Fund Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Munivest Fund fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Munivest Fund could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Munivest Fund by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Munivest Fund Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Munivest Fund fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Munivest Fund shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Munivest Fund fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Munivest Fund entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Munivest Fund Risk Indicators
The analysis of Munivest Fund's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Munivest Fund's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting munivest fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3712 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4277 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.467 | |||
| Variance | 0.2181 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.2316 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1829 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.43) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Munivest Fund
The number of cover stories for Munivest Fund depends on current market conditions and Munivest Fund's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Munivest Fund is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Munivest Fund's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in Munivest Fund
Munivest Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Munivest Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Munivest with respect to the benefits of owning Munivest Fund security.
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities | |
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum | |
| Crypto Correlations Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins |