Mexico Closed Fund Forward View

MXF Fund  USD 22.20  0.67  3.11%   
Mexico Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Mexico Closed's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Mexico Closed's fund price is roughly 68. This indicates that the fund is rather overbought by investors as of 4th of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mexico, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 68

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Mexico Closed's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Mexico Closed and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Mexico Closed's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mexico Closed, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Mexico Closed hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mexico Closed from the perspective of Mexico Closed response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mexico Closed on the next trading day is expected to be 22.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.96.

Mexico Closed after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 22.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mexico Closed to cross-verify your projections.

Mexico Closed Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mexico price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mexico using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mexico charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Mexico Closed is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Mexico Closed value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Mexico Closed Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mexico Closed on the next trading day is expected to be 22.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mexico Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mexico Closed's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mexico Closed Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Mexico Closed  Mexico Closed Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Mexico Closed Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mexico Closed's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mexico Closed's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.18 and 23.44, respectively. We have considered Mexico Closed's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.20
22.31
Expected Value
23.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mexico Closed fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mexico Closed fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.1036
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1929
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0097
SAESum of the absolute errors11.9623
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Mexico Closed. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Mexico Closed. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Mexico Closed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mexico Closed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mexico Closed's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.0822.2023.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.9823.6424.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.2920.8422.38
Details

Mexico Closed After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mexico Closed at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mexico Closed or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Mexico Closed, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Mexico Closed Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mexico Closed's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mexico Closed's historical news coverage. Mexico Closed's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.08 and 23.32, respectively. We have considered Mexico Closed's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
22.20
22.20
After-hype Price
23.32
Upside
Mexico Closed is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mexico Closed is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mexico Closed Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Mexico Closed is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mexico Closed backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mexico Closed, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.28 
1.13
  0.07 
 0.00  
9 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.20
22.20
0.00 
470.83  
Notes

Mexico Closed Hype Timeline

On the 4th of February Mexico Closed is traded for 22.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Mexico is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mexico Closed is about 7264.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.20. About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.22. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mexico Closed recorded a loss per share of 2.27. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of October 2022. The firm had a split on the 3rd of September 1993. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mexico Closed to cross-verify your projections.

Mexico Closed Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mexico Closed's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mexico Closed's future price movements. Getting to know how Mexico Closed's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mexico Closed may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
JCENuveen Core Equity 0.08 4 per month 0.71 (0.01) 1.28 (1.19) 3.55 
CAFMorgan Stanley China(0.17)4 per month 0.94  0.04  2.28 (1.77) 6.75 
SPESpecial Opportunities Closed 0.11 4 per month 0.68  0.02  0.76 (0.78) 4.57 
TDFTempleton Dragon Closed 0.03 8 per month 0.88 (0.04) 1.54 (1.40) 5.71 
CRMSXCrm Small Cap 0.00 0 per month 0.76  0.10  2.18 (1.23) 5.65 
OPPRiverNorthDoubleLine Strategic 0.07 9 per month 0.56 (0.09) 0.77 (1.14) 2.43 
NSCCXNuveen Nwq Small Cap 0.00 0 per month 0.76  0.14  2.63 (1.78) 14.57 
RIVRivernorth Opportunities 0.02 1 per month 0.36  0.08  0.98 (0.82) 2.96 
FSCCXFirst American Investment 0.00 0 per month 0.72  0.08  2.19 (1.35) 4.92 

Other Forecasting Options for Mexico Closed

For every potential investor in Mexico, whether a beginner or expert, Mexico Closed's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mexico Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mexico. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mexico Closed's price trends.

Mexico Closed Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mexico Closed fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mexico Closed could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mexico Closed by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mexico Closed Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mexico Closed fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mexico Closed shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mexico Closed fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Mexico Closed entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mexico Closed Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mexico Closed's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mexico Closed's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mexico fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Mexico Closed

The number of cover stories for Mexico Closed depends on current market conditions and Mexico Closed's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mexico Closed is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mexico Closed's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Mexico Fund

Mexico Closed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mexico Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mexico with respect to the benefits of owning Mexico Closed security.
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