Nagarro SE Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NA9 Stock  EUR 68.15  0.70  1.04%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nagarro SE on the next trading day is expected to be 71.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 162.24. Nagarro Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nagarro SE's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 15th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Nagarro SE's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nagarro SE's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nagarro SE and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nagarro SE's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nagarro SE, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Nagarro SE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nagarro SE from the perspective of Nagarro SE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nagarro SE on the next trading day is expected to be 71.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 162.24.

Nagarro SE after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 67.45  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nagarro SE to cross-verify your projections.

Nagarro SE Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nagarro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nagarro using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nagarro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Nagarro SE is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Nagarro SE value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Nagarro SE Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nagarro SE on the next trading day is expected to be 71.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.62, mean absolute percentage error of 11.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 162.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nagarro Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nagarro SE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nagarro SE Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nagarro SENagarro SE Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Nagarro SE Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nagarro SE's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nagarro SE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 66.74 and 76.00, respectively. We have considered Nagarro SE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
68.15
71.37
Expected Value
76.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nagarro SE stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nagarro SE stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.4059
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.6169
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0459
SAESum of the absolute errors162.2449
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Nagarro SE. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Nagarro SE. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Nagarro SE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nagarro SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.8167.4572.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.4554.0974.20
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nagarro SE

For every potential investor in Nagarro, whether a beginner or expert, Nagarro SE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nagarro Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nagarro. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nagarro SE's price trends.

Nagarro SE Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nagarro SE stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nagarro SE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nagarro SE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nagarro SE Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nagarro SE's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nagarro SE's current price.

Nagarro SE Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nagarro SE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nagarro SE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nagarro SE stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nagarro SE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nagarro SE Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nagarro SE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nagarro SE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nagarro stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Nagarro Stock

Nagarro SE financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nagarro Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nagarro with respect to the benefits of owning Nagarro SE security.