Impact Shares ETF Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average
| NACP ETF | USD 57.63 0.00 0.00% |
Impact Shares NAACP's 8 Period Moving Average forecast is generated from the selected price series and evaluated against observed values. Forecast accuracy depends on how stable the recent price trend has been — trending markets suit some models better than others. The forecast is recalculated with each session so it does not rely on stale inputs. A small Bias confirms the model is not systematically over- or under-predicting. The 8 Period Moving Average model projects Impact Shares at 56.26 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. All values shown are model-generated projections and should be evaluated alongside other analytical inputs.
8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average model forecasts Impact Shares at 56.26 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.02 , and sum of absolute errors of 53.11 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Impact Shares' recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
ETF Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Impact Shares | Impact Shares Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast range for Impact Shares defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. Downside is estimated near 55.16 and upside near 57.36. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 8 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Impact Shares ETF. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 103.8139 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4935 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.002 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0192 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 53.1056 |
Other Forecasting Options for Impact Shares
Bollinger Bands applied to Impact Shares ETF price data measure how far Impact Shares has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to Impact Shares' price data. On-balance volume for Impact Shares ETF creates a running indicator of buying versus selling pressure in Impact Shares. Price departures from the channel boundary often mean-revert, offering tactical signals for Impact Shares'.Impact Shares Comparable Funds
The instruments listed below are comparable funds for Impact Shares and provide a practical reference set. Looking across similar funds helps show whether Impact Shares' pricing and risk profile are typical for the category. The most informative gaps tend to appear in total return, risk-adjusted return, and distribution consistency. This category lens gives the comparison list a clearer purpose for Impact Shares.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Impact Shares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Impact Shares quantify how the ETF responds to shifts in volume and sentiment. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in Impact Shares. The Market Facilitation Index measures how efficiently price moves relative to volume — rising MFI with rising volume signals strong trend participation. Monitoring these indicators for Impact Shares through complete market cycles reveals recurring patterns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 14.59 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 57.59 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 57.6 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.045 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 72.0 |
Impact Shares Risk Indicators
Analyzing Impact Shares' risk indicators separates symmetric price swings from asymmetric downside exposure. Understanding and quantifying the risks present in Impact Shares helps place recent price behavior in context. These metrics are most informative when compared against similar equities with comparable growth profiles and market capitalization. When semi-deviation is high relative to standard deviation, Impact Shares' losses have been disproportionately large compared to gains.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8927 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.865 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Variance | 1.26 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.12 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7482 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.00 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.