Nation Group Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

NATION Stock   0.03  0.01  25.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Nation Group PCL on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.29. Nation Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nation Group stock prices and determine the direction of Nation Group PCL's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nation Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of now the value of rsi of Nation Group's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nation Group's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nation Group PCL, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Nation Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nation Group PCL from the perspective of Nation Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Nation Group PCL on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.29.

Nation Group after-hype prediction price

    
  THB 0.03  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nation Group to cross-verify your projections.

Nation Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nation price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nation using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nation charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Nation Group polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Nation Group PCL as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Nation Group Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Nation Group PCL on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000024, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nation Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nation Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nation Group Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nation GroupNation Group Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Nation Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nation Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nation Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 21.99, respectively. We have considered Nation Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.03
0.0003
Downside
0.03
Expected Value
21.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nation Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nation Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.2995
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0047
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1384
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2942
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Nation Group historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Nation Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nation Group PCL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0321.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0321.98
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nation Group

For every potential investor in Nation, whether a beginner or expert, Nation Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nation Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nation. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nation Group's price trends.

Nation Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nation Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nation Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nation Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nation Group PCL Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nation Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nation Group's current price.

Nation Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nation Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nation Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nation Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nation Group PCL entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nation Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nation Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nation Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nation stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Nation Stock

Nation Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nation Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nation with respect to the benefits of owning Nation Group security.