Natura Cosmeticos Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

Natura Cosmeticos Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Natura price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Natura using various technical indicators. When you analyze Natura charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Natura Cosmeticos works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Natura Cosmeticos Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Natura Cosmeticos SA on the next trading day is expected to be 9.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.12.

Natura Cosmeticos Stock Forecast Pattern

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Natura Cosmeticos Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Natura Cosmeticos Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Natura Cosmeticos stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Natura Cosmeticos stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. When Natura Cosmeticos SA prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Natura Cosmeticos SA trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Natura Cosmeticos observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Natura Cosmeticos

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Natura Cosmeticos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 6.88 9.19 11.50 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 5.07 7.38 9.69 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Natura Cosmeticos. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Natura Cosmeticos' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Natura Cosmeticos' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Natura Cosmeticos.

Natura Cosmeticos After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Natura Cosmeticos Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Natura Cosmeticos Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Natura Cosmeticos Hype Timeline

Natura Cosmeticos is now traded for 9.19on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Natura is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Natura Cosmeticos is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.19. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.31. Natura Cosmeticos last dividend was issued on the 27th of February 2019. The entity had 5:1 split on the 31st of March 2006. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Natura Cosmeticos to cross-verify your projections.

Natura Cosmeticos Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Natura Cosmeticos

For every potential investor in Natura, whether a beginner or expert, Natura Cosmeticos' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Natura Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Natura. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Natura Cosmeticos' price trends.

Natura Cosmeticos Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Natura Cosmeticos Market Strength Events

Natura Cosmeticos Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Natura Cosmeticos

Other Macroaxis Stories

Natura Cosmeticos Short Properties

Additional Tools for Natura Stock Analysis