Neo Battery OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NBMFF Stock  USD 0.40  0.19  32.20%   
Neo OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Neo Battery's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Neo Battery's share price is approaching 49. This indicates that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Neo Battery, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Neo Battery Materials stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Neo Battery shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Neo Battery's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Neo Battery and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Neo Battery's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Neo Battery Materials, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Neo Battery based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Neo Battery hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Neo Battery Materials from the perspective of Neo Battery response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Neo Battery Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 0.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.81.

Neo Battery after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Neo Battery to cross-verify your projections.

Neo Battery Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Neo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Neo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Neo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Neo Battery is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Neo Battery Materials value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Neo Battery Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Neo Battery Materials on the next trading day is expected to be 0.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Neo OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Neo Battery's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Neo Battery OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Neo Battery  Neo Battery Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Neo Battery Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Neo Battery's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Neo Battery's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 17.58, respectively. We have considered Neo Battery's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.40
0.45
Expected Value
17.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Neo Battery otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Neo Battery otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.1676
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0453
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1181
SAESum of the absolute errors2.8059
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Neo Battery Materials. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Neo Battery. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Neo Battery

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neo Battery Materials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.4017.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.3217.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Neo Battery. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Neo Battery's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Neo Battery's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Neo Battery Materials.

Neo Battery After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Neo Battery at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Neo Battery or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Neo Battery, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Neo Battery Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Neo Battery's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Neo Battery's historical news coverage. Neo Battery's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 17.39, respectively. We have considered Neo Battery's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.40
0.40
After-hype Price
17.39
Upside
Neo Battery is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Neo Battery Materials is based on 3 months time horizon.

Neo Battery OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Neo Battery is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Neo Battery backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Neo Battery, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.25 
17.13
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.40
0.40
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Neo Battery Hype Timeline

Neo Battery Materials is now traded for 0.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Neo is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Neo Battery is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.40. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.03. Neo Battery Materials last dividend was issued on the 7th of March 2018. The entity had 1:2 split on the 7th of March 2018. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Neo Battery to cross-verify your projections.

Neo Battery Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Neo Battery's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Neo Battery's future price movements. Getting to know how Neo Battery's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Neo Battery may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
REMRFRed Moon Resources 0.00 0 per month 3.40  0.05  9.52 (6.00) 19.73 
CONXFNickel 28 Capital 0.00 0 per month 2.08  0.17  6.12 (5.13) 17.07 
ELMTFElement 25 Limited 0.00 0 per month 4.48  0.08  14.29 (13.04) 29.71 
FCSMFFocus Graphite 0.00 0 per month 5.59  0.02  12.90 (10.00) 36.93 
SYHBFSkyharbour Resources 0.00 0 per month 3.08  0.14  9.09 (6.06) 31.06 
SRGXFSurge Copper Corp 0.00 0 per month 4.23  0.21  15.79 (8.33) 36.34 
HLOGFHelium One Global 0.00 0 per month 10.68  0.09  33.33 (24.00) 72.97 
LLKKFLake Resources NL 0.00 0 per month 7.01  0.23  17.92 (10.20) 43.43 
LEMIFLeading Edge Materials 0.00 0 per month 5.91  0.07  11.76 (11.11) 35.53 
ZNWLFZinnwald Lithium Plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  1.43  0.00  7,938 

Other Forecasting Options for Neo Battery

For every potential investor in Neo, whether a beginner or expert, Neo Battery's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Neo OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Neo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Neo Battery's price trends.

Neo Battery Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Neo Battery otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Neo Battery could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Neo Battery by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Neo Battery Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Neo Battery otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Neo Battery shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Neo Battery otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Neo Battery Materials entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Neo Battery Risk Indicators

The analysis of Neo Battery's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Neo Battery's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting neo otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Neo Battery

The number of cover stories for Neo Battery depends on current market conditions and Neo Battery's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Neo Battery is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Neo Battery's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Neo OTC Stock

Neo Battery financial ratios help investors to determine whether Neo OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Neo with respect to the benefits of owning Neo Battery security.