NewcelX Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| NCEL Stock | 2.78 0.18 6.92% |
NewcelX Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the RSI of NewcelX's share price is approaching 40. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling NewcelX, making its price go up or down. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using NewcelX hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NewcelX from the perspective of NewcelX response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of NewcelX on the next trading day is expected to be 1.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.86. NewcelX after-hype prediction price | USD 3.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NewcelX to cross-verify your projections. NewcelX Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NewcelX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NewcelX using various technical indicators. When you analyze NewcelX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NewcelX Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of NewcelX on the next trading day is expected to be 1.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.86.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NewcelX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NewcelX's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NewcelX Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest NewcelX | NewcelX Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
NewcelX Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NewcelX's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NewcelX's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 10.10, respectively. We have considered NewcelX's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NewcelX stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NewcelX stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.6238 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5714 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1664 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 34.8583 |
Predictive Modules for NewcelX
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NewcelX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NewcelX's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NewcelX After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NewcelX at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NewcelX or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NewcelX, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NewcelX Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NewcelX's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NewcelX's historical news coverage. NewcelX's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.17 and 11.80, respectively. We have considered NewcelX's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NewcelX is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NewcelX is based on 3 months time horizon.
NewcelX Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NewcelX is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NewcelX backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NewcelX, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.33 | 8.42 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.78 | 3.38 | 30.00 |
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NewcelX Hype Timeline
NewcelX is now traded for 2.78. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. NewcelX is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.38 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 30.0%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -1.33%. The volatility of related hype on NewcelX is about 115342.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.77. NewcelX currently holds 28.18 M in liabilities. Note, when we think about NewcelX's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NewcelX to cross-verify your projections.NewcelX Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NewcelX's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NewcelX's future price movements. Getting to know how NewcelX's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NewcelX may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OCEA | Ocean Biomedical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 29.64 | 0.24 | 166.67 | (60.00) | 473.33 | |
| BACK | IMAC Holdings | 0.03 | 6 per month | 14.73 | 0.12 | 50.00 | (29.29) | 271.43 | |
| PRE | Prenetics Global | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.89 | 0.12 | 8.75 | (6.91) | 20.61 | |
| SRZN | Surrozen | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.37 | 0.15 | 12.25 | (6.75) | 34.29 | |
| CERO | CERo Therapeutics Holdings | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 20.00 | (17.65) | 94.69 | |
| SABS | SAB Biotherapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.11 | 0.14 | 7.97 | (4.05) | 22.52 | |
| BCTXW | BriaCell Therapeutics Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 14.21 | (29.33) | 61.85 | |
| NUWE | Nuwellis | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.20 | 0.07 | 13.98 | (10.78) | 49.33 | |
| CELU | Celularity | (0.13) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 9.01 | (8.97) | 26.97 | |
| KTTA | Pasithea Therapeutics Corp | 0.01 | 11 per month | 7.70 | 0.07 | 16.67 | (12.50) | 137.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for NewcelX
For every potential investor in NewcelX, whether a beginner or expert, NewcelX's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NewcelX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NewcelX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NewcelX's price trends.NewcelX Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NewcelX stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NewcelX could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NewcelX by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NewcelX Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NewcelX stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NewcelX shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NewcelX stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NewcelX entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
NewcelX Risk Indicators
The analysis of NewcelX's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NewcelX's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting newcelx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.42 | |||
| Variance | 70.96 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for NewcelX
The number of cover stories for NewcelX depends on current market conditions and NewcelX's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NewcelX is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NewcelX's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NewcelX Short Properties
NewcelX's future price predictability will typically decrease when NewcelX's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NewcelX often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NewcelX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NewcelX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 154.3 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NewcelX to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy NewcelX Stock please use our How to buy in NewcelX Stock guide.You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NewcelX. If investors know NewcelX will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NewcelX listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of NewcelX is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NewcelX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NewcelX's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NewcelX's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NewcelX's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NewcelX's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NewcelX's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NewcelX is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NewcelX's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.