Nitori Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| NCLTF Stock | USD 14.91 1.59 9.64% |
Nitori Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nitori Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Nitori Holdings' share price is approaching 44. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nitori Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Nitori Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nitori Holdings Co from the perspective of Nitori Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nitori Holdings Co on the next trading day is expected to be 14.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.79. Nitori Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 14.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Nitori |
Nitori Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nitori price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nitori using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nitori charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nitori Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nitori Holdings Co on the next trading day is expected to be 14.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 1.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nitori Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nitori Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nitori Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nitori Holdings | Nitori Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Nitori Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nitori Holdings' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nitori Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.39 and 21.43, respectively. We have considered Nitori Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nitori Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nitori Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.3796 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0055 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4465 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0272 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.79 |
Predictive Modules for Nitori Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nitori Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nitori Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nitori Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nitori Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nitori Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Nitori Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nitori Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nitori Holdings' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nitori Holdings' historical news coverage. Nitori Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.44 and 21.38, respectively. We have considered Nitori Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nitori Holdings is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nitori Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nitori Holdings Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nitori Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nitori Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nitori Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 6.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.91 | 14.91 | 0.00 |
|
Nitori Holdings Hype Timeline
Nitori Holdings is now traded for 14.91. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Nitori is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nitori Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.91. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Nitori Holdings was now reported as 7010.14. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.89. Nitori Holdings last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. The entity had 2:1 split on the 18th of February 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nitori Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Nitori Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nitori Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nitori Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Nitori Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nitori Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ANCTF | Alimentation Couchen Tard | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | (0) | 2.85 | (2.06) | 6.69 | |
| JDCMF | Jd Com Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.41 | 0.01 | 8.18 | (14.71) | 34.12 | |
| DRPRF | Dr Ing hc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.32 | (4.48) | 15.07 | |
| MAHMF | Mahindra Mahindra Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.83 | (3.43) | 13.07 | |
| DRPRY | Dr Ing hc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.87 | (0.02) | 3.71 | (2.98) | 9.35 | |
| TRPCF | Trip Group Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.80 | (4.11) | 25.14 | |
| VWAPY | Volkswagen AG Pref | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.11 | 2.69 | (2.56) | 6.49 | |
| VLKPF | Volkswagen AG VZO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.72 | 0.08 | 3.92 | (3.32) | 11.77 | |
| VWAGY | Volkswagen AG 110 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | 0.09 | 2.87 | (2.43) | 6.25 | |
| VLKAF | Volkswagen AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.97 | 0.09 | 4.22 | (3.44) | 10.11 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nitori Holdings
For every potential investor in Nitori, whether a beginner or expert, Nitori Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nitori Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nitori. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nitori Holdings' price trends.Nitori Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nitori Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nitori Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nitori Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nitori Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nitori Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nitori Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nitori Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Nitori Holdings Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.9 | |||
| Day Median Price | 14.91 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14.91 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.79) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.59) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 44.72 |
Nitori Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nitori Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nitori Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nitori pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.68 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.22 | |||
| Variance | 38.64 | |||
| Downside Variance | 119.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 16.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (14.97) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nitori Holdings
The number of cover stories for Nitori Holdings depends on current market conditions and Nitori Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nitori Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nitori Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in Nitori Pink Sheet
Nitori Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nitori Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nitori with respect to the benefits of owning Nitori Holdings security.