Nocera Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| NCRA Stock | USD 0.57 0.02 3.64% |
Nocera Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nocera stock prices and determine the direction of Nocera Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Nocera's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Nocera's share price is approaching 34. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nocera, making its price go up or down. Momentum 34
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.71) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.176 |
Using Nocera hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nocera Inc from the perspective of Nocera response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nocera Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.08. Nocera after-hype prediction price | USD 0.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nocera to cross-verify your projections. Nocera Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nocera price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nocera using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nocera charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nocera Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nocera Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nocera Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nocera's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nocera Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nocera | Nocera Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Nocera Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nocera's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nocera's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 8.12, respectively. We have considered Nocera's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nocera stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nocera stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.2044 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0137 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0513 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0542 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.08 |
Predictive Modules for Nocera
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nocera Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nocera After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nocera at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nocera or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nocera, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nocera Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nocera's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nocera's historical news coverage. Nocera's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 8.05, respectively. We have considered Nocera's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nocera is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nocera Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nocera Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nocera is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nocera backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nocera, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.15 | 7.55 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.57 | 0.46 | 16.36 |
|
Nocera Hype Timeline
Nocera Inc is now traded for 0.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Nocera is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.46. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -16.36%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -1.15%. The volatility of related hype on Nocera is about 13482.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.51. About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.61. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nocera Inc recorded a loss per share of 0.29. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of November 2017. The firm had 200:1 split on the 6th of November 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nocera to cross-verify your projections.Nocera Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nocera's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nocera's future price movements. Getting to know how Nocera's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nocera may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| COOT | Australian Oilseeds Holdings | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 8.40 | (10.53) | 34.28 | |
| BOF | BranchOut Food Common | (0.11) | 6 per month | 4.10 | 0.05 | 9.35 | (7.06) | 19.04 | |
| FARM | Farmer Bros Co | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.05 | (4.35) | 18.04 | |
| PAVS | Paranovus Entertainment Technology | (0.40) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 22.50 | (29.49) | 133.88 | |
| JZ | Jianzhi Education Technology | (0.22) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 4.38 | (8.59) | 34.43 | |
| UG | United Guardian | (0.04) | 7 per month | 1.97 | (0.02) | 2.59 | (3.31) | 10.23 | |
| JVA | Coffee Holding Co | (0.26) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.87 | (4.94) | 26.85 | |
| IH | Ihuman Inc | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 5.19 | (5.26) | 13.22 | |
| BNKK | Bonk Inc | 0.12 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 21.61 | (20.46) | 62.91 | |
| BTOG | Bit Origin | 0.34 | 27 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 8.29 | (11.71) | 52.92 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nocera
For every potential investor in Nocera, whether a beginner or expert, Nocera's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nocera Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nocera. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nocera's price trends.Nocera Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nocera stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nocera could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nocera by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nocera Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nocera stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nocera shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nocera stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nocera Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Nocera Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nocera's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nocera's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nocera stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.36 | |||
| Variance | 69.93 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nocera
The number of cover stories for Nocera depends on current market conditions and Nocera's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nocera is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nocera's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Nocera Short Properties
Nocera's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nocera's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nocera Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nocera's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nocera's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 484.4 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nocera to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nocera. Anticipated expansion of Nocera directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Nocera assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.71) | Earnings Share (0.29) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.176 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Nocera Inc requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Nocera's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Nocera's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Nocera's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Nocera's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nocera should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Nocera's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.