Nordea Invest Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

NDIAKTIIKL1   551.90  2.50  0.45%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Nordea Invest Aktier on the next trading day is expected to be 553.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 248.65. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Nordea Invest's stock prices and determine the direction of Nordea Invest Aktier's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nordea Invest's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Nordea Invest Aktier is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Nordea Invest 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Nordea Invest Aktier on the next trading day is expected to be 553.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.29, mean absolute percentage error of 28.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 248.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nordea Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nordea Invest's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nordea Invest Stock Forecast Pattern

Nordea Invest Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nordea Invest's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nordea Invest's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 552.44 and 553.91, respectively. We have considered Nordea Invest's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
551.90
552.44
Downside
553.17
Expected Value
553.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nordea Invest stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nordea Invest stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.9368
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.6793
MADMean absolute deviation4.2871
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.008
SAESum of the absolute errors248.65
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Nordea Invest. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Nordea Invest Aktier and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Nordea Invest

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nordea Invest Aktier. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Nordea Invest

For every potential investor in Nordea, whether a beginner or expert, Nordea Invest's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nordea Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nordea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nordea Invest's price trends.

Nordea Invest Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nordea Invest stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nordea Invest could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nordea Invest by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nordea Invest Aktier Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nordea Invest's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nordea Invest's current price.

Nordea Invest Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nordea Invest stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nordea Invest shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nordea Invest stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nordea Invest Aktier entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nordea Invest Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nordea Invest's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nordea Invest's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nordea stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Nordea Invest

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Nordea Invest position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Nordea Invest will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Nordea Stock

  0.77MAERSK-B AP MllerPairCorr
  0.77MAERSK-A AP MllerPairCorr

Moving against Nordea Stock

  0.9ORSTED Orsted ASPairCorr
  0.85VWS Vestas Wind SystemsPairCorr
  0.8CARL-B Carlsberg ASPairCorr
  0.65GMAB Genmab ASPairCorr
  0.52NOVO-B Novo Nordisk ASPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Nordea Invest could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Nordea Invest when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Nordea Invest - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Nordea Invest Aktier to buy it.
The correlation of Nordea Invest is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Nordea Invest moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Nordea Invest Aktier moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Nordea Invest can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching