Needham Aggressive Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Needham Aggressive Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Needham price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Needham using various technical indicators. When you analyze Needham charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Needham Aggressive simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Needham Aggressive Growth are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Needham Aggressive Growth prices get older.

Needham Aggressive Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Needham Aggressive Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 68.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70, mean absolute percentage error of 0.81, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.76.

Needham Aggressive Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Needham Aggressive Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Needham Aggressive mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Needham Aggressive mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Needham Aggressive Growth forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Needham Aggressive observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Needham Aggressive

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Needham Aggressive Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 67.33 68.81 70.29 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 61.97 74.02 75.50 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 59.87 65.31 70.75 Details

Needham Aggressive After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Needham Aggressive Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Needham Aggressive Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Needham Aggressive Hype Timeline

Needham Aggressive Growth is now traded for 68.86. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 2.18. Needham is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 68.81. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Needham Aggressive is about 14.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.04. The company last dividend was issued on the 8th of November 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Needham Aggressive to cross-verify your projections.

Needham Aggressive Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Needham Aggressive

For every potential investor in Needham, whether a beginner or expert, Needham Aggressive's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Needham Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Needham. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Needham Aggressive's price trends.

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