NeoGenomics Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NEO Stock  USD 12.83  0.16  1.26%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NeoGenomics on the next trading day is expected to be 13.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.62. NeoGenomics Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although NeoGenomics' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of NeoGenomics' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of NeoGenomics fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of NeoGenomics' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of NeoGenomics' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with NeoGenomics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting NeoGenomics' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.306
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.0492
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.0973
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.1817
Wall Street Target Price
14.5625
Using NeoGenomics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NeoGenomics from the perspective of NeoGenomics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards NeoGenomics using NeoGenomics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards NeoGenomics using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of NeoGenomics' stock price.

NeoGenomics Short Interest

An investor who is long NeoGenomics may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about NeoGenomics and may potentially protect profits, hedge NeoGenomics with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
8.7461
Short Percent
0.0892
Short Ratio
4.59
Shares Short Prior Month
9.1 M
50 Day MA
11.3756

NeoGenomics Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to NeoGenomics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in NeoGenomics. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding NeoGenomics can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around NeoGenomics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of NeoGenomics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about NeoGenomics.

NeoGenomics Implied Volatility

    
  0.9  
NeoGenomics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of NeoGenomics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if NeoGenomics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that NeoGenomics stock will not fluctuate a lot when NeoGenomics' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NeoGenomics on the next trading day is expected to be 13.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.62.

NeoGenomics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NeoGenomics to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in NeoGenomics Stock, please use our How to Invest in NeoGenomics guide.At this time, NeoGenomics' Inventory Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 10th of January 2026, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 16.20, while Asset Turnover is likely to drop 0.44. . As of the 10th of January 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 15.5 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is likely to grow to about (123.3 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 NeoGenomics Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast NeoGenomics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in NeoGenomics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for NeoGenomics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current NeoGenomics' open interest, investors have to compare it to NeoGenomics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of NeoGenomics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in NeoGenomics. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

NeoGenomics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine NeoGenomics price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NeoGenomics using various technical indicators. When you analyze NeoGenomics charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

NeoGenomics Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the NeoGenomics' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2000-03-31
Previous Quarter
154.7 M
Current Value
164.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
132.6 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for NeoGenomics is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of NeoGenomics value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

NeoGenomics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of NeoGenomics on the next trading day is expected to be 13.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.62.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NeoGenomics Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NeoGenomics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NeoGenomics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest NeoGenomicsNeoGenomics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

NeoGenomics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NeoGenomics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NeoGenomics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.96 and 16.42, respectively. We have considered NeoGenomics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.83
13.69
Expected Value
16.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NeoGenomics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NeoGenomics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.0083
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3052
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0271
SAESum of the absolute errors18.6161
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of NeoGenomics. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict NeoGenomics. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for NeoGenomics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NeoGenomics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NeoGenomics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0612.7915.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6114.3417.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.7911.9413.08
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.2514.5616.16
Details

Other Forecasting Options for NeoGenomics

For every potential investor in NeoGenomics, whether a beginner or expert, NeoGenomics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NeoGenomics Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NeoGenomics. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NeoGenomics' price trends.

NeoGenomics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NeoGenomics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NeoGenomics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NeoGenomics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NeoGenomics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NeoGenomics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NeoGenomics' current price.

NeoGenomics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NeoGenomics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NeoGenomics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NeoGenomics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NeoGenomics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NeoGenomics Risk Indicators

The analysis of NeoGenomics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NeoGenomics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting neogenomics stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with NeoGenomics

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if NeoGenomics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in NeoGenomics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with NeoGenomics Stock

  0.79NPTH NeuPath HealthPairCorr

Moving against NeoGenomics Stock

  0.91300015 Aier Eye HospitalPairCorr
  0.81SPI Spire HealthcarePairCorr
  0.79600763 Top Choice MedicalPairCorr
  0.77301267 Huaxia Eye HospitalPairCorr
  0.64OPT Optima Health plcPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to NeoGenomics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace NeoGenomics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back NeoGenomics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling NeoGenomics to buy it.
The correlation of NeoGenomics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as NeoGenomics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if NeoGenomics moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for NeoGenomics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether NeoGenomics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of NeoGenomics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Neogenomics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Neogenomics Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NeoGenomics to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in NeoGenomics Stock, please use our How to Invest in NeoGenomics guide.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NeoGenomics. If investors know NeoGenomics will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NeoGenomics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.306
Earnings Share
(0.89)
Revenue Per Share
5.552
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.119
Return On Assets
(0.03)
The market value of NeoGenomics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NeoGenomics that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NeoGenomics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NeoGenomics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NeoGenomics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NeoGenomics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NeoGenomics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NeoGenomics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NeoGenomics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.