NeoMedia Technologies Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

NEOMDelisted Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NeoMedia Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000044 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000044 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0008. NeoMedia Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for NeoMedia Technologies is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of NeoMedia Technologies value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

NeoMedia Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of NeoMedia Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000044 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000044, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0008.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NeoMedia Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NeoMedia Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NeoMedia Technologies Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NeoMedia Technologies pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NeoMedia Technologies pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria17.6713
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors8.0E-4
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of NeoMedia Technologies. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict NeoMedia Technologies. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for NeoMedia Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NeoMedia Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000850.00
Details

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

NeoMedia Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NeoMedia Technologies pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NeoMedia Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NeoMedia Technologies pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify NeoMedia Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Other Consideration for investing in NeoMedia Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in NeoMedia Technologies check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the NeoMedia Technologies' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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