Neonode Stock Forward View
| NEON Stock | USD 1.69 0.19 10.11% |
Neonode Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Neonode's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Neonode's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Neonode fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Neonode's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.09) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.41) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.38) | Wall Street Target Price 6 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.49) |
Using Neonode hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Neonode from the perspective of Neonode response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Neonode using Neonode's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Neonode using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Neonode's stock price.
Neonode Implied Volatility | 3.61 |
Neonode's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Neonode stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Neonode's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Neonode stock will not fluctuate a lot when Neonode's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Neonode on the next trading day is expected to be 1.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.91. Neonode after-hype prediction price | USD 1.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Neonode to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Neonode contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Neonode will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.23% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Neonode trading at USD 1.69, that is roughly USD 0.003813 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Neonode's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Neonode options at the current volatility level of 3.61%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Neonode Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Neonode's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Neonode's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Neonode stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Neonode's open interest, investors have to compare it to Neonode's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Neonode is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Neonode. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Neonode Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Neonode price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Neonode using various technical indicators. When you analyze Neonode charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Neonode Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Neonode's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1985-09-30 | Previous Quarter 13.2 M | Current Value 11.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 4.9 M |
Neonode Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Neonode on the next trading day is expected to be 1.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Neonode Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Neonode's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Neonode Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Neonode | Neonode Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Neonode Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Neonode's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Neonode's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 4.79, respectively. We have considered Neonode's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Neonode stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Neonode stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.0141 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.064 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0319 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.9054 |
Predictive Modules for Neonode
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neonode. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Neonode After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Neonode at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Neonode or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Neonode, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Neonode Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Neonode's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Neonode's historical news coverage. Neonode's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 5.09, respectively. We have considered Neonode's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Neonode is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Neonode is based on 3 months time horizon.
Neonode Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Neonode is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Neonode backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Neonode, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.51 | 3.33 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.69 | 1.76 | 4.14 |
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Neonode Hype Timeline
Neonode is now traded for 1.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Neonode is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.76 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 4.14%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.51%. The volatility of related hype on Neonode is about 5550.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.66. Neonode currently holds about 12.43 M in cash with (5.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.92. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Neonode to cross-verify your projections.Neonode Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Neonode's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Neonode's future price movements. Getting to know how Neonode's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Neonode may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SLNH | Soluna Holdings | 0.21 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 17.32 | (13.18) | 43.75 | |
| ODYS | Odysightai Common Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.59 | 0.19 | 14.13 | (6.42) | 25.92 | |
| CPSH | Cps Technologies | (0.21) | 13 per month | 4.38 | 0.11 | 13.93 | (7.37) | 32.46 | |
| AIRG | Airgain | 0.06 | 8 per month | 3.44 | 0.05 | 6.88 | (3.73) | 22.68 | |
| AWRE | Aware Inc | (0.02) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.10 | (3.48) | 14.94 | |
| MOB | Mobilicom Limited American | (0.66) | 10 per month | 7.88 | 0.01 | 11.31 | (12.42) | 34.44 | |
| DSWL | Deswell Industries | (0.02) | 7 per month | 2.87 | 0.02 | 4.75 | (4.19) | 23.97 | |
| SVRE | SaverOne 2014 Ltd | 0.07 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 13.49 | (18.00) | 64.89 | |
| PHUN | Phunware | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.95 | (5.94) | 13.43 | |
| TACT | TransAct Technologies Incorporated | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.05 | (4.73) | 17.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for Neonode
For every potential investor in Neonode, whether a beginner or expert, Neonode's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Neonode Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Neonode. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Neonode's price trends.Neonode Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Neonode stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Neonode could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Neonode by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Neonode Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Neonode stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Neonode shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Neonode stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Neonode entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Neonode Risk Indicators
The analysis of Neonode's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Neonode's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting neonode stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.85 | |||
| Variance | 14.83 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Neonode
The number of cover stories for Neonode depends on current market conditions and Neonode's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Neonode is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Neonode's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Neonode Short Properties
Neonode's future price predictability will typically decrease when Neonode's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Neonode often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Neonode's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Neonode's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Neonode to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Neonode Stock, please use our How to Invest in Neonode guide.You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Will Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector continue expanding? Could Neonode diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Neonode. Anticipated expansion of Neonode directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Neonode data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share 0.51 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.49) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Neonode using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Neonode's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Neonode's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Neonode's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Neonode should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Neonode's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.