Roundhill Video Etf Forecast - Simple Regression
| NERD Etf | USD 23.68 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Roundhill Video Games on the next trading day is expected to be 23.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.13. Roundhill Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Roundhill Video stock prices and determine the direction of Roundhill Video Games's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Roundhill Video's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of Roundhill Video's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Roundhill Video hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Roundhill Video Games from the perspective of Roundhill Video response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Roundhill Video using Roundhill Video's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Roundhill using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Roundhill Video's stock price.
Roundhill Video Implied Volatility | 0.34 |
Roundhill Video's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Roundhill Video Games stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Roundhill Video's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Roundhill Video stock will not fluctuate a lot when Roundhill Video's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Roundhill Video Games on the next trading day is expected to be 23.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.13. Roundhill Video after-hype prediction price | USD 23.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Roundhill contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Roundhill Video Games will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0213% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Roundhill Video trading at USD 23.68, that is roughly USD 0.005032 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Roundhill Video's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Roundhill Video Games options at the current volatility level of 0.34%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Roundhill Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Roundhill Video's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Roundhill Video's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Roundhill Video stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Roundhill Video's open interest, investors have to compare it to Roundhill Video's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Roundhill Video is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Roundhill. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Roundhill Video Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Roundhill price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Roundhill using various technical indicators. When you analyze Roundhill charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Roundhill Video Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Roundhill Video Games on the next trading day is expected to be 23.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.13.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Roundhill Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Roundhill Video's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Roundhill Video Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Roundhill Video | Roundhill Video Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Roundhill Video Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Roundhill Video's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Roundhill Video's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.68 and 24.60, respectively. We have considered Roundhill Video's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Roundhill Video etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Roundhill Video etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.0716 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2809 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0112 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.132 |
Predictive Modules for Roundhill Video
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roundhill Video Games. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Roundhill Video After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Roundhill Video at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Roundhill Video or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Roundhill Video, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Roundhill Video Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Roundhill Video's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Roundhill Video's historical news coverage. Roundhill Video's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.78 and 24.70, respectively. We have considered Roundhill Video's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Roundhill Video is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Roundhill Video Games is based on 3 months time horizon.
Roundhill Video Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Roundhill Video is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Roundhill Video backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Roundhill Video, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 0.96 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.68 | 23.74 | 0.25 |
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Roundhill Video Hype Timeline
Roundhill Video Games is now traded for 23.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Roundhill is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.74 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is anticipated to be 0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Roundhill Video is about 3200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.67. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Roundhill Video to cross-verify your projections.Roundhill Video Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Roundhill Video's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Roundhill Video's future price movements. Getting to know how Roundhill Video's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Roundhill Video may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SHUS | Exchange Listed Funds | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.55 | (0.04) | 1.27 | (1.03) | 2.86 | |
| BJK | VanEck Gaming ETF | 0.06 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.54 | (1.68) | 5.12 | |
| SFYX | SoFi Next 500 | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.87 | 0.04 | 1.51 | (1.69) | 3.90 | |
| RSPE | Invesco Exchange Traded | (0.08) | 2 per month | 0.65 | 0.02 | 1.57 | (1.10) | 3.77 | |
| RFLR | Innovator ETFs Trust | (0.19) | 2 per month | 0.61 | 0 | 1.26 | (1.38) | 3.18 | |
| EAOR | iShares ESG Aware | 0.07 | 13 per month | 0.42 | (0.11) | 0.75 | (0.79) | 2.17 | |
| SNAV | Collaborative Investment Series | (0.07) | 1 per month | 0.76 | (0.06) | 1.21 | (1.37) | 3.08 | |
| RNRG | Global X Renewable | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.70 | 0.01 | 1.32 | (1.05) | 4.06 | |
| MADE | iShares Trust | (0.29) | 8 per month | 1.08 | 0.11 | 2.21 | (1.92) | 4.77 | |
| AUGZ | TrueShares Structured Outcome | 0.23 | 1 per month | 0.62 | (0.10) | 0.87 | (0.93) | 2.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for Roundhill Video
For every potential investor in Roundhill, whether a beginner or expert, Roundhill Video's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Roundhill Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Roundhill. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Roundhill Video's price trends.Roundhill Video Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Roundhill Video etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Roundhill Video could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Roundhill Video by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Roundhill Video Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Roundhill Video etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Roundhill Video shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Roundhill Video etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Roundhill Video Games entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.008 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 23.76 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 23.73 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.07) |
Roundhill Video Risk Indicators
The analysis of Roundhill Video's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Roundhill Video's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting roundhill etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7329 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9739 | |||
| Variance | 0.9484 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Roundhill Video
The number of cover stories for Roundhill Video depends on current market conditions and Roundhill Video's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Roundhill Video is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Roundhill Video's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Roundhill Video to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
The market value of Roundhill Video Games is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Roundhill that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Roundhill Video's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Roundhill Video's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Roundhill Video's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Roundhill Video's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Roundhill Video's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Roundhill Video is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Roundhill Video's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.