Netas Telekomunikasyon Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

NETAS Stock  TRY 72.70  1.30  1.82%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Netas Telekomunikasyon AS on the next trading day is expected to be 72.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 107.40. Netas Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Netas Telekomunikasyon's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Netas Telekomunikasyon is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Netas Telekomunikasyon Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Netas Telekomunikasyon AS on the next trading day is expected to be 72.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.79, mean absolute percentage error of 5.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 107.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Netas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Netas Telekomunikasyon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Netas Telekomunikasyon Stock Forecast Pattern

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Netas Telekomunikasyon Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Netas Telekomunikasyon's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Netas Telekomunikasyon's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 69.85 and 75.55, respectively. We have considered Netas Telekomunikasyon's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
72.70
72.70
Expected Value
75.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Netas Telekomunikasyon stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Netas Telekomunikasyon stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.0089
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.2967
MADMean absolute deviation1.79
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0224
SAESum of the absolute errors107.4
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Netas Telekomunikasyon AS price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Netas Telekomunikasyon. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Netas Telekomunikasyon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Netas Telekomunikasyon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Netas Telekomunikasyon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
69.8572.7075.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.4065.2579.97
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Netas Telekomunikasyon

For every potential investor in Netas, whether a beginner or expert, Netas Telekomunikasyon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Netas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Netas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Netas Telekomunikasyon's price trends.

Netas Telekomunikasyon Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Netas Telekomunikasyon stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Netas Telekomunikasyon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Netas Telekomunikasyon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Netas Telekomunikasyon Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Netas Telekomunikasyon's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Netas Telekomunikasyon's current price.

Netas Telekomunikasyon Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Netas Telekomunikasyon stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Netas Telekomunikasyon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Netas Telekomunikasyon stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Netas Telekomunikasyon AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Netas Telekomunikasyon Risk Indicators

The analysis of Netas Telekomunikasyon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Netas Telekomunikasyon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting netas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Netas Stock

Netas Telekomunikasyon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Netas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Netas with respect to the benefits of owning Netas Telekomunikasyon security.