NetSol Technologies Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| NETSOL Stock | 124.02 1.46 1.16% |
NetSol Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast NetSol Technologies stock prices and determine the direction of NetSol Technologies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of NetSol Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today the value of rsi of NetSol Technologies' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using NetSol Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NetSol Technologies from the perspective of NetSol Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of NetSol Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 128.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 143.39. NetSol Technologies after-hype prediction price | PKR 124.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NetSol |
NetSol Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NetSol price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NetSol using various technical indicators. When you analyze NetSol charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NetSol Technologies Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of NetSol Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 128.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.31, mean absolute percentage error of 8.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 143.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NetSol Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NetSol Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NetSol Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest NetSol Technologies | NetSol Technologies Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
NetSol Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NetSol Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NetSol Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 127.05 and 130.12, respectively. We have considered NetSol Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NetSol Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NetSol Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.1168 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.3128 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0178 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 143.3927 |
Predictive Modules for NetSol Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NetSol Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NetSol Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NetSol Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NetSol Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NetSol Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NetSol Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NetSol Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NetSol Technologies' historical news coverage. NetSol Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 122.50 and 125.54, respectively. We have considered NetSol Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NetSol Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NetSol Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
NetSol Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NetSol Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NetSol Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NetSol Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
124.02 | 124.02 | 0.00 |
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NetSol Technologies Hype Timeline
NetSol Technologies is now traded for 124.02on Karachi Stock Exchange of Pakistan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. NetSol is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on NetSol Technologies is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 124.02. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NetSol Technologies to cross-verify your projections.NetSol Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NetSol Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NetSol Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how NetSol Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NetSol Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PSO | Pakistan State Oil | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | 0.02 | 2.37 | (1.93) | 5.70 | |
| KEL | K Electric | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.65 | 0.20 | 7.08 | (3.66) | 20.15 | |
| OGDC | Oil and Gas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | 0.18 | 2.69 | (1.55) | 10.27 | |
| LUCK | Lucky Cement | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.54 | (0.02) | 3.41 | (2.52) | 8.77 | |
| INDU | Indus Motor | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.09 | 0.0008 | 2.62 | (2.48) | 7.03 | |
| NRL | National Refinery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.01 | 0.08 | 5.32 | (3.74) | 14.73 | |
| PPL | Pakistan Petroleum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.38 | 0.24 | 3.57 | (2.31) | 9.28 | |
| NML | Nishat Mills | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.53 | 0.13 | 5.40 | (2.81) | 14.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for NetSol Technologies
For every potential investor in NetSol, whether a beginner or expert, NetSol Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NetSol Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NetSol. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NetSol Technologies' price trends.NetSol Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NetSol Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NetSol Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NetSol Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NetSol Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NetSol Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NetSol Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NetSol Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NetSol Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 6349.73 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.53) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 124.39 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 124.26 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.10) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.46) |
NetSol Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of NetSol Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NetSol Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting netsol stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Variance | 2.23 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for NetSol Technologies
The number of cover stories for NetSol Technologies depends on current market conditions and NetSol Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NetSol Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NetSol Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NetSol Technologies Short Properties
NetSol Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when NetSol Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NetSol Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NetSol Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NetSol Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 87.8 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 1.7 B |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in NetSol Stock
When determining whether NetSol Technologies is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if NetSol Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Netsol Technologies Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Netsol Technologies Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NetSol Technologies to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade NetSol Stock refer to our How to Trade NetSol Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.