Newcap Holding Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

NEWCAP Stock  DKK 0.1  0.01  7.14%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Newcap Holding AS on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.36. Newcap Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Newcap Holding stock prices and determine the direction of Newcap Holding AS's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Newcap Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Newcap Holding price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Newcap Holding Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Newcap Holding AS on the next trading day is expected to be 0.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0007, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Newcap Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Newcap Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Newcap Holding Stock Forecast Pattern

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Newcap Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Newcap Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Newcap Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.001 and 24.96, respectively. We have considered Newcap Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.1
0.07
Expected Value
24.96
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Newcap Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Newcap Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.698
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0219
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2018
SAESum of the absolute errors1.3604
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Newcap Holding AS historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Newcap Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Newcap Holding AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1024.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.124.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Newcap Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Newcap Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Newcap Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Newcap Holding AS.

Other Forecasting Options for Newcap Holding

For every potential investor in Newcap, whether a beginner or expert, Newcap Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Newcap Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Newcap. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Newcap Holding's price trends.

Newcap Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Newcap Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Newcap Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Newcap Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Newcap Holding AS Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Newcap Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Newcap Holding's current price.

Newcap Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Newcap Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Newcap Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Newcap Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Newcap Holding AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Newcap Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of Newcap Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Newcap Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting newcap stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in Newcap Stock

Newcap Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Newcap Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Newcap with respect to the benefits of owning Newcap Holding security.