Newfoundland Discovery Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| NEWDF Stock | USD 0.11 0.01 8.33% |
Newfoundland Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Newfoundland Discovery's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Newfoundland Discovery's share price is at 56. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Newfoundland Discovery, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Newfoundland Discovery hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Newfoundland Discovery Corp from the perspective of Newfoundland Discovery response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Newfoundland Discovery Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.31. Newfoundland Discovery after-hype prediction price | USD 0.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Newfoundland |
Newfoundland Discovery Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Newfoundland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Newfoundland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Newfoundland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Newfoundland Discovery Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Newfoundland Discovery Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000073, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Newfoundland Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Newfoundland Discovery's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Newfoundland Discovery Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Newfoundland Discovery | Newfoundland Discovery Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Newfoundland Discovery Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Newfoundland Discovery's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Newfoundland Discovery's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 11.28, respectively. We have considered Newfoundland Discovery's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Newfoundland Discovery pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Newfoundland Discovery pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.7505 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -8.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0052 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0585 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.3099 |
Predictive Modules for Newfoundland Discovery
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Newfoundland Discovery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Newfoundland Discovery's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Newfoundland Discovery After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Newfoundland Discovery at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Newfoundland Discovery or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Newfoundland Discovery, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Newfoundland Discovery Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Newfoundland Discovery's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Newfoundland Discovery's historical news coverage. Newfoundland Discovery's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 11.31, respectively. We have considered Newfoundland Discovery's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Newfoundland Discovery is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Newfoundland Discovery is based on 3 months time horizon.
Newfoundland Discovery Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Newfoundland Discovery is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Newfoundland Discovery backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Newfoundland Discovery, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.24 | 11.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.11 | 0.12 | 3.13 |
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Newfoundland Discovery Hype Timeline
Newfoundland Discovery is now traded for 0.11. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Newfoundland is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.12 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 3.13%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.24%. The volatility of related hype on Newfoundland Discovery is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.11. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newfoundland Discovery to cross-verify your projections.Newfoundland Discovery Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Newfoundland Discovery's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Newfoundland Discovery's future price movements. Getting to know how Newfoundland Discovery's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Newfoundland Discovery may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CYNXF | Cyon Exploration | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NULGF | Nulegacy Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.64 | 0.03 | 14.29 | (12.90) | 46.88 | |
| GSSRF | Gossan Resources Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 25.00 | (4.76) | 738.10 | |
| EGMLF | Engineer Gold Mines | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 385.83 | |
| MNGG | Mining Global | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MAKAF | Makara Mining Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.29 | 0.05 | 34.00 | (25.00) | 87.82 | |
| GFTRF | Goldn Futures Mineral | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AISSF | AIS Resources Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 19.39 | 0.18 | 60.58 | (45.01) | 442.99 | |
| STGDF | Stone Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 45.00 | 0.00 | 204.24 | |
| RTMFF | RT Minerals Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.46 |
Other Forecasting Options for Newfoundland Discovery
For every potential investor in Newfoundland, whether a beginner or expert, Newfoundland Discovery's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Newfoundland Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Newfoundland. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Newfoundland Discovery's price trends.Newfoundland Discovery Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Newfoundland Discovery pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Newfoundland Discovery could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Newfoundland Discovery by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Newfoundland Discovery Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Newfoundland Discovery pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Newfoundland Discovery shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Newfoundland Discovery pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Newfoundland Discovery Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Newfoundland Discovery Risk Indicators
The analysis of Newfoundland Discovery's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Newfoundland Discovery's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting newfoundland pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.48 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.84 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 11.16 | |||
| Variance | 124.65 | |||
| Downside Variance | 89.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 34.05 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (11.81) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Newfoundland Discovery
The number of cover stories for Newfoundland Discovery depends on current market conditions and Newfoundland Discovery's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Newfoundland Discovery is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Newfoundland Discovery's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Newfoundland Pink Sheet
Newfoundland Discovery financial ratios help investors to determine whether Newfoundland Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Newfoundland with respect to the benefits of owning Newfoundland Discovery security.