NewtekOne 850 Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| NEWTG Stock | 25.65 0.11 0.43% |
NewtekOne Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of NewtekOne 850's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 20th of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of NewtekOne 850's share price is at 56. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling NewtekOne 850, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using NewtekOne 850 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NewtekOne 850 percent from the perspective of NewtekOne 850 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NewtekOne 850 percent on the next trading day is expected to be 25.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.30. NewtekOne 850 after-hype prediction price | USD 25.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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NewtekOne 850 Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NewtekOne price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NewtekOne using various technical indicators. When you analyze NewtekOne charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NewtekOne 850 Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NewtekOne 850 percent on the next trading day is expected to be 25.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NewtekOne Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NewtekOne 850's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NewtekOne 850 Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest NewtekOne 850 | NewtekOne 850 Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
NewtekOne 850 Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NewtekOne 850's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NewtekOne 850's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.38 and 25.92, respectively. We have considered NewtekOne 850's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NewtekOne 850 stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NewtekOne 850 stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.9756 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.013 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.055 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0022 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.3 |
Predictive Modules for NewtekOne 850
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NewtekOne 850 percent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NewtekOne 850's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NewtekOne 850 After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NewtekOne 850 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NewtekOne 850 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NewtekOne 850, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NewtekOne 850 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NewtekOne 850's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NewtekOne 850's historical news coverage. NewtekOne 850's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.28 and 25.80, respectively. We have considered NewtekOne 850's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NewtekOne 850 is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NewtekOne 850 percent is based on 3 months time horizon.
NewtekOne 850 Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NewtekOne 850 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NewtekOne 850 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NewtekOne 850, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.27 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 1 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.65 | 25.54 | 0.00 |
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NewtekOne 850 Hype Timeline
NewtekOne 850 percent is now traded for 25.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. NewtekOne is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on NewtekOne 850 is about 93.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.67. The company last dividend was issued on the 1st of March 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NewtekOne 850 to cross-verify your projections.NewtekOne 850 Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NewtekOne 850's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NewtekOne 850's future price movements. Getting to know how NewtekOne 850's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NewtekOne 850 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NEWTI | NewtekOne 800 percent | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.49 | (0.08) | 1.35 | (1.06) | 2.99 | |
| NEWT | Newtek Business Services | 0.18 | 8 per month | 1.96 | 0.15 | 4.68 | (2.85) | 13.38 | |
| ANTA | Antalpha Platform Holding | 0.57 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.12 | (6.27) | 19.87 | |
| RWAY | Runway Growth Finance | (0.07) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.78 | (2.21) | 6.84 | |
| YRD | Yirendai | 0.05 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.76 | (3.75) | 13.64 | |
| ATLC | Atlanticus Holdings | 1.08 | 8 per month | 3.26 | 0.01 | 4.77 | (5.55) | 14.61 | |
| ONIT | Onity Group | 0.66 | 10 per month | 2.88 | (0.01) | 4.49 | (4.07) | 17.16 | |
| POLE | Andretti Acquisition Corp | 0.07 | 7 per month | 0.10 | (0.26) | 0.29 | (0.19) | 1.61 | |
| PLTS | Platinum Analytics Cayman | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for NewtekOne 850
For every potential investor in NewtekOne, whether a beginner or expert, NewtekOne 850's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NewtekOne Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NewtekOne. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NewtekOne 850's price trends.NewtekOne 850 Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NewtekOne 850 stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NewtekOne 850 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NewtekOne 850 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NewtekOne 850 Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NewtekOne 850 stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NewtekOne 850 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NewtekOne 850 stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NewtekOne 850 percent entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
NewtekOne 850 Risk Indicators
The analysis of NewtekOne 850's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NewtekOne 850's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting newtekone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.223 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1942 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2975 | |||
| Variance | 0.0885 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0927 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0377 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for NewtekOne 850
The number of cover stories for NewtekOne 850 depends on current market conditions and NewtekOne 850's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NewtekOne 850 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NewtekOne 850's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NewtekOne 850 Short Properties
NewtekOne 850's future price predictability will typically decrease when NewtekOne 850's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NewtekOne 850 percent often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NewtekOne 850's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NewtekOne 850's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0215 | |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 238 |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NewtekOne 850 to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Can Diversified Financial Services industry sustain growth momentum? Does NewtekOne have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NewtekOne 850. Anticipated expansion of NewtekOne directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating NewtekOne 850 demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
The market value of NewtekOne 850 percent is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NewtekOne that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NewtekOne 850's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NewtekOne 850's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because NewtekOne 850's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NewtekOne 850's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between NewtekOne 850's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding NewtekOne 850 should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, NewtekOne 850's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.