Nexa Resources Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| NEXA Stock | USD 7.60 0.02 0.26% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Nexa Resources SA on the next trading day is expected to be 7.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.02. Nexa Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nexa Resources stock prices and determine the direction of Nexa Resources SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nexa Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Nexa |
Nexa Resources Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Nexa Resources SA on the next trading day is expected to be 7.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nexa Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nexa Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nexa Resources Stock Forecast Pattern
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Nexa Resources Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nexa Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nexa Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.34 and 9.54, respectively. We have considered Nexa Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nexa Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nexa Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.1104 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1133 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0161 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.0232 |
Predictive Modules for Nexa Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nexa Resources SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nexa Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Nexa Resources
For every potential investor in Nexa, whether a beginner or expert, Nexa Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nexa Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nexa. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nexa Resources' price trends.Nexa Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nexa Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nexa Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nexa Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nexa Resources SA Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nexa Resources' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nexa Resources' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nexa Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nexa Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nexa Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nexa Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nexa Resources SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Nexa Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nexa Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nexa Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nexa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Variance | 4.42 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.16 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.17 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.83) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Nexa Resources SA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Nexa Resources' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Nexa Resources Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Nexa Resources Sa Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nexa Resources to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nexa Resources. If investors know Nexa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nexa Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.49) | Revenue Per Share 20.05 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.093 | Return On Assets 0.0215 | Return On Equity (0.13) |
The market value of Nexa Resources SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nexa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nexa Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nexa Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nexa Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nexa Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nexa Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nexa Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nexa Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.