New Found Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| NFGC Stock | USD 1.81 0.04 2.26% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of New Found Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 1.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.25. New Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast New Found stock prices and determine the direction of New Found Gold's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of New Found's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
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New Found 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of New Found Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 1.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict New Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that New Found's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
New Found Stock Forecast Pattern
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New Found Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting New Found's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. New Found's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.55, respectively. We have considered New Found's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of New Found stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent New Found stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.671 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0328 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1096 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0486 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.2475 |
Predictive Modules for New Found
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Found Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for New Found
For every potential investor in New, whether a beginner or expert, New Found's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. New Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in New. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying New Found's price trends.View New Found Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
New Found Gold Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of New Found's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of New Found's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
New Found Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how New Found stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading New Found shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying New Found stock market strength indicators, traders can identify New Found Gold entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 22991.81 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.83 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.82 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.04 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 35.19 |
New Found Risk Indicators
The analysis of New Found's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in New Found's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting new stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.78 | |||
| Variance | 14.32 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether New Found Gold offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of New Found's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of New Found Gold Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on New Found Gold Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of New Found to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of New Found. If investors know New will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about New Found listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.78) | Earnings Share (0.21) | Return On Assets (0.66) | Return On Equity (1.10) |
The market value of New Found Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of New that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of New Found's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is New Found's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because New Found's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect New Found's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between New Found's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if New Found is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, New Found's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.