Natural Health Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| NHEL Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Natural Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Natural Health's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Natural Health's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Natural Health fundamentals over time.
As of now the rsi of Natural Health's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.938 |
Using Natural Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Natural Health Farm from the perspective of Natural Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Natural Health Farm on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Natural Health after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Natural Health to cross-verify your projections. Natural Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Natural price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Natural using various technical indicators. When you analyze Natural charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Natural Health Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Natural Health Farm on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Natural Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Natural Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Natural Health Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Natural Health | Natural Health Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Natural Health Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Natural Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Natural Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Natural Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Natural Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Natural Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 30.3989 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Natural Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Natural Health Farm. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natural Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Natural Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Natural Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Natural Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Natural Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Natural Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Natural Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Natural Health's historical news coverage. Natural Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Natural Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Natural Health is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Natural Health Farm is based on 3 months time horizon.
Natural Health Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Natural Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Natural Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Natural Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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Natural Health Hype Timeline
Natural Health Farm is now traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Natural is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Natural Health is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.1. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Natural Health Farm had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 30:1 split on the 17th of March 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Natural Health to cross-verify your projections.Natural Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Natural Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Natural Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Natural Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Natural Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FDBH | Founders Bay Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ORHB | ORHub Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 150.00 | |
| CEVE | Ceres Ventures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SCPS | Scopus Biopharma | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 33.33 | (33.33) | 83.33 | |
| MDXL | Medixall Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MDIT | Medite Cancer Diagnostics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SCAL | Stem Cell Authority | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | |
| ASFX | American Scientf | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RGIN | Regenicin | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 216.67 | |
| PARD | Poniard Pharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Natural Health
For every potential investor in Natural, whether a beginner or expert, Natural Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Natural Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Natural. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Natural Health's price trends.Natural Health Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Natural Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Natural Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natural Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Natural Health Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Natural Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Natural Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Natural Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Natural Health Farm entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Natural Health
The number of cover stories for Natural Health depends on current market conditions and Natural Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Natural Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Natural Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Natural Health to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Health Care Technology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Health. Anticipated expansion of Natural directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Natural Health assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Investors evaluate Natural Health Farm using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Natural Health's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Natural Health's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Natural Health's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Natural Health should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Natural Health's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.