Nice Stock Forward View

NICE Stock  USD 109.37  2.96  2.78%   
Nice Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nice stock prices and determine the direction of Nice Ltd ADR's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Nice's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of Nice's share price is approaching 41. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nice, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 41

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nice's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nice and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nice's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nice Ltd ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nice's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.231
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
3.3844
EPS Estimate Current Year
12.2636
EPS Estimate Next Year
11.0875
Wall Street Target Price
160.6667
Using Nice hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nice Ltd ADR from the perspective of Nice response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nice using Nice's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nice using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nice's stock price.

Nice Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Nice's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Nice. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Nice stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
140.4852
Short Percent
0.0392
Short Ratio
3.41
Shares Short Prior Month
1.9 M
50 Day MA
110.2392

Nice Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nice Ltd ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 109.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 154.98.

Nice Ltd ADR Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Nice's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nice. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nice can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nice Ltd ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nice's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nice.

Nice Implied Volatility

    
  0.43  
Nice's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nice Ltd ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nice's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nice stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nice's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nice Ltd ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 109.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 154.98.

Nice after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 106.57  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nice to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Nice contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nice Ltd ADR will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0269% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Nice trading at USD 109.37, that is roughly USD 0.0294 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nice's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nice Ltd ADR options at the current volatility level of 0.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Nice Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Nice's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Nice's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Nice stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Nice's open interest, investors have to compare it to Nice's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Nice is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Nice. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Nice Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nice price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nice using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nice charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Nice Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Nice's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1995-12-31
Previous Quarter
535 M
Current Value
418.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
194.9 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Nice is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Nice Ltd ADR value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Nice Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nice Ltd ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 109.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.54, mean absolute percentage error of 16.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 154.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nice Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nice's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nice Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nice  Nice Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Nice Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nice's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nice's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 107.02 and 112.43, respectively. We have considered Nice's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
109.37
107.02
Downside
109.73
Expected Value
112.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nice stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nice stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.8873
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.5407
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0224
SAESum of the absolute errors154.9811
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Nice Ltd ADR. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Nice. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Nice

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nice Ltd ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nice's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
103.88106.57109.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
95.77119.17121.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
106.38113.29120.20
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
146.21160.67178.34
Details

Nice After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nice at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nice or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nice, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nice Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nice's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nice's historical news coverage. Nice's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 103.88 and 109.26, respectively. We have considered Nice's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
109.37
103.88
Downside
106.57
After-hype Price
109.26
Upside
Nice is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nice Ltd ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nice Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nice is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nice backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nice, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26 
2.71
  0.15 
  0.17 
10 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
109.37
106.57
0.15 
467.24  
Notes

Nice Hype Timeline

Nice Ltd ADR is now traded for 109.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. Nice is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 106.57 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Nice is about 425.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 109.20. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.74 B. Net Income was 442.59 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.93 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nice to cross-verify your projections.

Nice Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nice's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nice's future price movements. Getting to know how Nice's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nice may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MTCHMatch Group(0.41)9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.56 (1.84) 7.35 
PCTYPaylocity Holdng 0.97 9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.51 (4.46) 11.01 
APPFAppfolio(2.14)8 per month 0.00 (0.18) 3.09 (3.90) 12.94 
DSGXDescartes Systems Group(1.08)12 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.02 (3.74) 19.62 
LYFTLYFT Inc(0.03)8 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.73 (6.70) 14.46 
SRADSportradar Group AG(0.35)11 per month 0.00 (0.31) 2.44 (4.19) 10.47 
SOUNSoundHound AI 0.18 11 per month 0.00 (0.28) 6.32 (7.38) 16.04 
TTANServiceTitan Class A(3.45)11 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.59 (4.61) 21.98 
ESTCElastic NV 1.89 10 per month 0.00 (0.15) 3.82 (3.82) 18.64 
IDCCInterDigital(1.95)9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.53 (4.57) 17.55 

Other Forecasting Options for Nice

For every potential investor in Nice, whether a beginner or expert, Nice's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nice Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nice. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nice's price trends.

Nice Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nice stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nice could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nice by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nice Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nice stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nice shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nice stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nice Ltd ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nice Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nice's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nice's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nice stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Nice

The number of cover stories for Nice depends on current market conditions and Nice's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nice is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nice's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Nice Short Properties

Nice's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nice's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nice Ltd ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nice's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nice's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding65.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B
When determining whether Nice Ltd ADR is a strong investment it is important to analyze Nice's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Nice's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Nice Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nice to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Nice diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nice. Anticipated expansion of Nice directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Nice data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.231
Earnings Share
8.8
Revenue Per Share
1.8343
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.061
Return On Assets
0.0762
Understanding Nice Ltd ADR requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Nice's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Nice's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Nice's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Nice's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nice should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Nice's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.