Nikon Corp Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

NINOY Stock  USD 13.00  0.50  4.00%   
Nikon Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Nikon Corp's pink sheet price is slightly above 64. This indicates that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nikon, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 64

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nikon Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nikon Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Nikon Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nikon Corp from the perspective of Nikon Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nikon Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 13.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.42.

Nikon Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nikon Corp to cross-verify your projections.

Nikon Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nikon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nikon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nikon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Nikon Corp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Nikon Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Nikon Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nikon Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 13.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nikon Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nikon Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nikon Corp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nikon Corp  Nikon Corp Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Nikon Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nikon Corp's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nikon Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.91 and 15.64, respectively. We have considered Nikon Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.00
13.28
Expected Value
15.64
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nikon Corp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nikon Corp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.0512
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1841
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0161
SAESum of the absolute errors11.4165
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Nikon Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Nikon Corp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Nikon Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nikon Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6413.0015.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.0810.4414.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.5311.5912.65
Details

Nikon Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nikon Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nikon Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Nikon Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nikon Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nikon Corp's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nikon Corp's historical news coverage. Nikon Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.64 and 15.36, respectively. We have considered Nikon Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.00
13.00
After-hype Price
15.36
Upside
Nikon Corp is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nikon Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nikon Corp Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nikon Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nikon Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nikon Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27 
2.36
 0.00  
  0.04 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.00
13.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Nikon Corp Hype Timeline

Nikon Corp is now traded for 13.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. Nikon is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nikon Corp is about 1430.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.96. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.7. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nikon Corp last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2022. The entity had 10:1 split on the 24th of August 2012. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nikon Corp to cross-verify your projections.

Nikon Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nikon Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nikon Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Nikon Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nikon Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
YAMCFYamaha 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.05  0.93  0.00  17.18 
YAMCYYamaha Corp DRC 0.00 0 per month 1.39  0.03  3.68 (2.03) 10.62 
THLPFThule Group AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
JTEKYJTEKT Corp ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  43.57 
JUMSFJumbo SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AMKYFABC MartInc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.69  12.77 (0.54) 0.54 
NGCRYNagacorp Ltd ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.10) 0.00  0.00  13.32 
HOYFFHuhtamki Oyj 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 0.00  0.00  9.92 
JELCFJohnson Electric Holdings(1.65)8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 0.00  0.00  32.44 
KOTMFKoito Manufacturing Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Nikon Corp

For every potential investor in Nikon, whether a beginner or expert, Nikon Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nikon Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nikon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nikon Corp's price trends.

Nikon Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nikon Corp pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nikon Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nikon Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nikon Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nikon Corp pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nikon Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nikon Corp pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Nikon Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nikon Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nikon Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nikon Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nikon pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Nikon Corp

The number of cover stories for Nikon Corp depends on current market conditions and Nikon Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nikon Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nikon Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Nikon Corp Short Properties

Nikon Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nikon Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nikon Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nikon Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nikon Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding369.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments371.2 B

Additional Tools for Nikon Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Nikon Corp's price analysis, check to measure Nikon Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nikon Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Nikon Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nikon Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nikon Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nikon Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.