NIQ Global Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| NIQ Stock | USD 16.17 0.00 0.00% |
NIQ Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although NIQ Global's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of NIQ Global's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of NIQ Global fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength indicator of NIQ Global's share price is at 51. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling NIQ Global, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using NIQ Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NIQ Global Intelligence from the perspective of NIQ Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards NIQ Global using NIQ Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards NIQ using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of NIQ Global's stock price.
NIQ Global Short Interest
An investor who is long NIQ Global may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about NIQ Global and may potentially protect profits, hedge NIQ Global with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 18.1627 |
NIQ Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NIQ Global Intelligence on the next trading day is expected to be 16.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.82.NIQ Global Intelligence Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to NIQ Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in NIQ. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding NIQ can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around NIQ Global Intelligence. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of NIQ Global's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about NIQ Global.
NIQ Global Implied Volatility | 0.92 |
NIQ Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of NIQ Global Intelligence stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if NIQ Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that NIQ Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when NIQ Global's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NIQ Global Intelligence on the next trading day is expected to be 16.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.82. NIQ Global after-hype prediction price | USD 16.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NIQ Global to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 NIQ Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast NIQ Global's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in NIQ Global's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for NIQ Global stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current NIQ Global's open interest, investors have to compare it to NIQ Global's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of NIQ Global is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in NIQ. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
NIQ Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NIQ price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NIQ using various technical indicators. When you analyze NIQ charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NIQ Global Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NIQ Global Intelligence on the next trading day is expected to be 16.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NIQ Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NIQ Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NIQ Global Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest NIQ Global | NIQ Global Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
NIQ Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NIQ Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NIQ Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.68 and 18.65, respectively. We have considered NIQ Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NIQ Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NIQ Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.8214 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1056 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3529 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0224 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.8225 |
Predictive Modules for NIQ Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NIQ Global Intelligence. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NIQ Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NIQ Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NIQ Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NIQ Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NIQ Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NIQ Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NIQ Global's historical news coverage. NIQ Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.37 and 19.35, respectively. We have considered NIQ Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NIQ Global is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NIQ Global Intelligence is based on 3 months time horizon.
NIQ Global Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NIQ Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NIQ Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NIQ Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.57 | 2.49 | 0.01 | 0.12 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
16.17 | 16.86 | 0.77 |
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NIQ Global Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February NIQ Global Intelligence is traded for 16.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. NIQ is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 16.86. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.77%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.57%. The volatility of related hype on NIQ Global is about 1136.99%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.29. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.52. NIQ Global Intelligence last dividend was issued on the 13th of October 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NIQ Global to cross-verify your projections.NIQ Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NIQ Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NIQ Global's future price movements. Getting to know how NIQ Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NIQ Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PAY | Paymentus Holdings | (2.96) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.65 | (5.50) | 36.06 | |
| VRRM | Verra Mobility Corp | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 2.25 | (2.63) | 7.22 | |
| PSFE | Paysafe | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.29 | (5.16) | 31.29 | |
| CLVT | CLARIVATE PLC | (0.06) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.12 | (5.95) | 13.67 | |
| AI | C3 Ai Inc | 0.24 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 4.45 | (5.54) | 12.70 | |
| PTRN | Pattern Group Series | (0.08) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.93 | (7.71) | 20.35 | |
| SAIC | Science Applications International | 2.71 | 9 per month | 1.54 | 0.05 | 3.42 | (2.45) | 21.53 | |
| COMM | CommScope Holding Co | (0.01) | 9 per month | 2.44 | 0.13 | 4.14 | (4.01) | 15.17 | |
| IPGP | IPG Photonics | 2.33 | 17 per month | 2.39 | 0.03 | 3.62 | (4.00) | 12.41 | |
| BBAI | BigBearai Holdings | (0.05) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 11.19 | (8.70) | 29.89 |
Other Forecasting Options for NIQ Global
For every potential investor in NIQ, whether a beginner or expert, NIQ Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NIQ Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NIQ. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NIQ Global's price trends.NIQ Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NIQ Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NIQ Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NIQ Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NIQ Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NIQ Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NIQ Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NIQ Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NIQ Global Intelligence entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0599 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 16.69 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 16.51 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.03 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.51) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.65 |
NIQ Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of NIQ Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NIQ Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting niq stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.57 | |||
| Variance | 6.6 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.83 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.67) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for NIQ Global
The number of cover stories for NIQ Global depends on current market conditions and NIQ Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NIQ Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NIQ Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for NIQ Stock Analysis
When running NIQ Global's price analysis, check to measure NIQ Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NIQ Global is operating at the current time. Most of NIQ Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NIQ Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NIQ Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NIQ Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.