N2OFF Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

NITODelisted Stock   1.22  0.34  38.64%   
N2OFF Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of N2OFF's share price is below 30 as of today. This indicates that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling N2OFF Inc, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 28

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of N2OFF's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with N2OFF Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using N2OFF hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of N2OFF Inc from the perspective of N2OFF response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of N2OFF Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.83.

N2OFF after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.28  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of N2OFF to cross-verify your projections.

N2OFF Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine N2OFF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for N2OFF using various technical indicators. When you analyze N2OFF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for N2OFF is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

N2OFF Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of N2OFF Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.83.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict N2OFF Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that N2OFF's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

N2OFF Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest N2OFF  N2OFF Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

N2OFF Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting N2OFF's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. N2OFF's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 9.70, respectively. We have considered N2OFF's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.22
1.22
Expected Value
9.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of N2OFF stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent N2OFF stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.6813
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0486
MADMean absolute deviation0.1158
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0728
SAESum of the absolute errors6.83
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of N2OFF Inc price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of N2OFF. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for N2OFF

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as N2OFF Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of N2OFF's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.289.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.169.64
Details

N2OFF After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of N2OFF at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in N2OFF or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of N2OFF, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

N2OFF Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting N2OFF's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on N2OFF's historical news coverage. N2OFF's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 9.76, respectively. We have considered N2OFF's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.22
1.28
After-hype Price
9.76
Upside
N2OFF is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of N2OFF Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

N2OFF Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as N2OFF is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading N2OFF backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with N2OFF, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.25 
8.48
  0.06 
  0.49 
9 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.22
1.28
4.92 
16,960  
Notes

N2OFF Hype Timeline

N2OFF Inc is now traded for 1.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.49. N2OFF is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.28 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 4.92%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -1.25%. The volatility of related hype on N2OFF is about 2168.8%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.71. N2OFF generates negative cash flow from operationsGiven the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of N2OFF to cross-verify your projections.

N2OFF Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to N2OFF's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict N2OFF's future price movements. Getting to know how N2OFF's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how N2OFF may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ENFYEnlightify 0.00 5 per month 0.00 (0.07) 33.33 (33.33) 126.67 
RETOReTo Eco Solutions 0.07 4 per month 0.00 (0.13) 16.04 (25.00) 59.40 
RKDAArcadia Biosciences(0.19)5 per month 0.00 (0.15) 11.25 (11.64) 25.74 
ITPIT Tech Packaging(0.01)4 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.26 (4.76) 18.61 
NAMMNamib Minerals Ordinary 2.03 7 per month 8.70  0.13  35.88 (14.54) 165.48 
CAPSCapstone Holding Corp(0.01)6 per month 0.00 (0.04) 10.61 (7.37) 24.19 
ORGNOrigin Materials(0.02)7 per month 0.00 (0.23) 7.14 (8.70) 30.08 
CNEYCN Energy Group 0.01 8 per month 0.00 (0.03) 10.00 (10.27) 68.03 
CTVACorteva 2.03 10 per month 0.85  0.16  2.24 (1.41) 7.27 
CRKNCrown Electrokinetics Corp 0.00 0 per month 25.03  0.13  115.69 (53.64) 10,960 

Other Forecasting Options for N2OFF

For every potential investor in N2OFF, whether a beginner or expert, N2OFF's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. N2OFF Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in N2OFF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying N2OFF's price trends.

N2OFF Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with N2OFF stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of N2OFF could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing N2OFF by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

N2OFF Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how N2OFF stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading N2OFF shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying N2OFF stock market strength indicators, traders can identify N2OFF Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

N2OFF Risk Indicators

The analysis of N2OFF's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in N2OFF's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting n2off stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for N2OFF

The number of cover stories for N2OFF depends on current market conditions and N2OFF's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that N2OFF is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about N2OFF's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

N2OFF Short Properties

N2OFF's future price predictability will typically decrease when N2OFF's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of N2OFF Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential N2OFF's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. N2OFF's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding166.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.5 M
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of N2OFF to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

Other Consideration for investing in N2OFF Stock

If you are still planning to invest in N2OFF Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the N2OFF's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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