Northern Institutional Money Market Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| NITXX Fund | USD 1.00 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Northern Institutional Funds on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Northern Money Market Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Northern Institutional's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the money market fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Northern Institutional hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Northern Institutional Funds from the perspective of Northern Institutional response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Northern Institutional Funds on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Northern Institutional after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Northern Institutional Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Northern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Northern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Northern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Northern Institutional Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Northern Institutional Funds on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Northern Money Market Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Northern Institutional's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Northern Institutional Money Market Fund Forecast Pattern
Northern Institutional Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Northern Institutional's Money Market Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Northern Institutional's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.00 and 1.00, respectively. We have considered Northern Institutional's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Northern Institutional money market fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Northern Institutional money market fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Northern Institutional
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northern Institutional. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the money market fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the money market fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Northern Institutional's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Northern Institutional Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Northern Institutional at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Northern Institutional or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Money Market Fund prices, such as prices of Northern Institutional, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Northern Institutional Money Market Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Money Market Fund such as Northern Institutional is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northern Institutional backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Northern Institutional, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
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Northern Institutional Hype Timeline
Northern Institutional is now traded for 1.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Northern is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Northern Institutional is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out fundamental analysis of Northern Institutional to check your projections.Northern Institutional Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Northern Institutional's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Northern Institutional's future price movements. Getting to know how Northern Institutional's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Northern Institutional may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IEFCX | Invesco Energy Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | 0.09 | 1.98 | (1.35) | 4.81 | |
| PSPFX | Global Resources Fund | 0.06 | 2 per month | 1.29 | 0.16 | 3.16 | (3.02) | 7.00 | |
| SMAPX | Salient Mlp Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.68 | (0) | 1.33 | (1.29) | 3.86 | |
| FNARX | Fidelity Natural Resources | (0.42) | 1 per month | 0.74 | 0.14 | 1.79 | (1.56) | 4.40 | |
| XEMOX | Clearbridge Energy Mlp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.72 | 0.03 | 1.51 | (1.53) | 3.85 | |
| PEO | Adams Natural Resources | 0.26 | 7 per month | 0.67 | 0.16 | 2.12 | (1.39) | 4.75 |
Other Forecasting Options for Northern Institutional
For every potential investor in Northern, whether a beginner or expert, Northern Institutional's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Northern Money Market Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Northern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Northern Institutional's price trends.Northern Institutional Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Northern Institutional money market fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Northern Institutional could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Northern Institutional by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Northern Institutional Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Northern Institutional money market fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Northern Institutional shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Northern Institutional money market fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Northern Institutional Funds entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Northern Institutional
The number of cover stories for Northern Institutional depends on current market conditions and Northern Institutional's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Northern Institutional is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Northern Institutional's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Northern Money Market Fund
Northern Institutional financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern Money Market Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Institutional security.
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