Nam Kim Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

NKG Stock   19,350  50.00  0.26%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Nam Kim Steel on the next trading day is expected to be 18,927 with a mean absolute deviation of 422.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25,743. Nam Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Nam Kim polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Nam Kim Steel as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Nam Kim Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Nam Kim Steel on the next trading day is expected to be 18,927 with a mean absolute deviation of 422.02, mean absolute percentage error of 260,061, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25,743.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nam Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nam Kim's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nam Kim Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nam KimNam Kim Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Nam Kim Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nam Kim's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nam Kim's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18,925 and 18,928, respectively. We have considered Nam Kim's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19,350
18,925
Downside
18,927
Expected Value
18,928
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nam Kim stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nam Kim stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria130.5792
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation422.0181
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0202
SAESum of the absolute errors25743.1035
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Nam Kim historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Nam Kim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nam Kim Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19,34919,35019,351
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17,41519,92519,926
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19,28619,33319,380
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nam Kim

For every potential investor in Nam, whether a beginner or expert, Nam Kim's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nam Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nam. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nam Kim's price trends.

Nam Kim Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nam Kim stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nam Kim could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nam Kim by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nam Kim Steel Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nam Kim's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nam Kim's current price.

Nam Kim Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nam Kim stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nam Kim shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nam Kim stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nam Kim Steel entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nam Kim Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nam Kim's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nam Kim's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nam stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Nam Kim

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Nam Kim position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Nam Kim will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Nam Stock

  0.77ADS Damsan JSCPairCorr
  0.67AAA An Phat PlasticPairCorr

Moving against Nam Stock

  0.65BCE Binh Duong ConstructionPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Nam Kim could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Nam Kim when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Nam Kim - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Nam Kim Steel to buy it.
The correlation of Nam Kim is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Nam Kim moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Nam Kim Steel moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Nam Kim can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Nam Stock

Nam Kim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nam with respect to the benefits of owning Nam Kim security.