NMP Acquisition Stock Forward View
| NMPAU Stock | 10.30 0.02 0.19% |
NMP Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of NMP Acquisition's share price is at 55. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling NMP Acquisition, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using NMP Acquisition hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NMP Acquisition Corp from the perspective of NMP Acquisition response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NMP Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.49. NMP Acquisition after-hype prediction price | USD 10.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NMP Acquisition to cross-verify your projections. NMP Acquisition Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NMP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NMP using various technical indicators. When you analyze NMP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NMP Acquisition Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of NMP Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 10.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NMP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NMP Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NMP Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest NMP Acquisition | NMP Acquisition Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
NMP Acquisition Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NMP Acquisition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NMP Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.75 and 10.72, respectively. We have considered NMP Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NMP Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NMP Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.391 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0408 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.004 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.4915 |
Predictive Modules for NMP Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NMP Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NMP Acquisition After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NMP Acquisition at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NMP Acquisition or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NMP Acquisition, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NMP Acquisition Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NMP Acquisition's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NMP Acquisition's historical news coverage. NMP Acquisition's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.82 and 10.78, respectively. We have considered NMP Acquisition's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NMP Acquisition is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NMP Acquisition Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
NMP Acquisition Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NMP Acquisition is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NMP Acquisition backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NMP Acquisition, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.30 | 10.30 | 0.00 |
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NMP Acquisition Hype Timeline
NMP Acquisition Corp is now traded for 10.30. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. NMP is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on NMP Acquisition is about 1542.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.30. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NMP Acquisition to cross-verify your projections.NMP Acquisition Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NMP Acquisition's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NMP Acquisition's future price movements. Getting to know how NMP Acquisition's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NMP Acquisition may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INAC | Indigo Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.05 | (0.30) | 0.30 | (0.20) | 0.99 | |
| TACO | Berto Acquisition Corp | (0.03) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.20 | (0.29) | 3.77 | |
| BOWN | Bowen Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AQU | Aquaron Acquisition Corp | 0.04 | 2 per month | 0.91 | (0.01) | 1.83 | (1.46) | 10.45 | |
| DYCQ | DT Cloud Acquisition | 0.00 | 8 per month | 2.93 | 0.01 | 5.98 | (1.48) | 28.17 | |
| HSPO | Horizon Space Acquisition | 0.00 | 6 per month | 3.46 | 0.01 | 2.46 | (3.24) | 61.25 | |
| GDST | Goldenstone Acquisition | (0.30) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.07 | |
| SVII | Spring Valley Acquisition | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 0.65 | (0.67) | 3.86 | |
| GTEN | Gores Holdings X | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.39 | (0.39) | 1.17 |
Other Forecasting Options for NMP Acquisition
For every potential investor in NMP, whether a beginner or expert, NMP Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NMP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NMP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NMP Acquisition's price trends.NMP Acquisition Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NMP Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NMP Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NMP Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NMP Acquisition Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NMP Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NMP Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NMP Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NMP Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.3 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.3 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.02 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.88 |
NMP Acquisition Risk Indicators
The analysis of NMP Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NMP Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nmp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1822 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.3256 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4948 | |||
| Variance | 0.2449 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.106 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.77) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for NMP Acquisition
The number of cover stories for NMP Acquisition depends on current market conditions and NMP Acquisition's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NMP Acquisition is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NMP Acquisition's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for NMP Stock Analysis
When running NMP Acquisition's price analysis, check to measure NMP Acquisition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NMP Acquisition is operating at the current time. Most of NMP Acquisition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NMP Acquisition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NMP Acquisition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NMP Acquisition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.