Nomura Holdings Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

NMR Stock  USD 9.29  0.17  1.86%   
Nomura Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Nomura Holdings' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Nomura Holdings' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Nomura Holdings fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength indicator of Nomura Holdings' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nomura Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nomura Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nomura Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nomura Holdings ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nomura Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.1755
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.8237
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.7766
Wall Street Target Price
9.7491
Using Nomura Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nomura Holdings ADR from the perspective of Nomura Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nomura Holdings using Nomura Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nomura using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nomura Holdings' stock price.

Nomura Holdings Short Interest

An investor who is long Nomura Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Nomura Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Nomura Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
7.1624
Short Percent
0.0005
Short Ratio
1.48
Shares Short Prior Month
1.8 M
50 Day MA
8.5122

Nomura Relative Strength Index

Nomura Holdings ADR Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Nomura Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nomura. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nomura can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nomura Holdings ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nomura Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nomura Holdings.

Nomura Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  0.75  
Nomura Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nomura Holdings ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nomura Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nomura Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nomura Holdings' options are near their expiration.

Nomura Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nomura Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Nomura contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nomura Holdings ADR will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0469% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Nomura Holdings trading at USD 9.29, that is roughly USD 0.004355 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nomura Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nomura Holdings ADR options at the current volatility level of 0.75%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Nomura Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Nomura Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Nomura Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Nomura Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Nomura Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Nomura Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Nomura Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Nomura. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Nomura Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nomura price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nomura using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nomura charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Nomura Holdings ADR has current Accumulation Distribution of 26576.69. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Nomura Holdings is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Nomura Holdings ADR to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Nomura Holdings trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Nomura Holdings VolatilityBacktest Nomura HoldingsInformation Ratio  

Nomura Holdings Trading Date Momentum

On February 09 2026 Nomura Holdings ADR was traded for  9.29  at the closing time. Highest Nomura Holdings's price during the trading hours was 9.32  and the lowest price during the day was  9.07 . The net volume was 990.8 K. The overall trading history on the 9th of February did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 1.72% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Nomura Holdings to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Nomura Holdings

For every potential investor in Nomura, whether a beginner or expert, Nomura Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nomura Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nomura. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nomura Holdings' price trends.

Nomura Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nomura Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nomura Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nomura Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nomura Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nomura Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nomura Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nomura Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nomura Holdings ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nomura Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nomura Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nomura Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nomura stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Nomura Holdings

The number of cover stories for Nomura Holdings depends on current market conditions and Nomura Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nomura Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nomura Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Nomura Holdings Short Properties

Nomura Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Nomura Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nomura Holdings ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nomura Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nomura Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments5.5 T

Additional Tools for Nomura Stock Analysis

When running Nomura Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Nomura Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nomura Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Nomura Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nomura Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nomura Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nomura Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.