Neuroone Medical Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

NMTC Stock  USD 0.61  0.07  10.29%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Neuroone Medical Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.35. Neuroone Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Neuroone Medical stock prices and determine the direction of Neuroone Medical Technologies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Neuroone Medical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Neuroone Medical's Payables Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 21.9 M, whereas Net Loss is forecasted to decline to (9.4 M).
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Neuroone Medical price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Neuroone Medical Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Neuroone Medical Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.35.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Neuroone Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Neuroone Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Neuroone Medical Stock Forecast Pattern

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Neuroone Medical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Neuroone Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Neuroone Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.68, respectively. We have considered Neuroone Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.61
0.83
Expected Value
5.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Neuroone Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Neuroone Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.5302
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0878
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1064
SAESum of the absolute errors5.3529
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Neuroone Medical Technologies historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Neuroone Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Neuroone Medical Tec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Neuroone Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.625.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.985.83
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.912.102.33
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Neuroone Medical

For every potential investor in Neuroone, whether a beginner or expert, Neuroone Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Neuroone Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Neuroone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Neuroone Medical's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Neuroone Medical Tec Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Neuroone Medical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Neuroone Medical's current price.

Neuroone Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Neuroone Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Neuroone Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Neuroone Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Neuroone Medical Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Neuroone Medical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Neuroone Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Neuroone Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting neuroone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Neuroone Medical Tec offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Neuroone Medical's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Neuroone Medical Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Neuroone Medical Technologies Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Neuroone Medical to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Neuroone Medical. If investors know Neuroone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Neuroone Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.48)
Revenue Per Share
0.158
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.311
Return On Assets
(1.43)
Return On Equity
(3.49)
The market value of Neuroone Medical Tec is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Neuroone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Neuroone Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Neuroone Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Neuroone Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Neuroone Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Neuroone Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Neuroone Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Neuroone Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.