Nano Dimension Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NNDM Stock  USD 2.28  0.17  8.06%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nano Dimension on the next trading day is expected to be 2.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.85. Nano Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Nano Dimension's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Nano Dimension's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Nano Dimension fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Nano Dimension's Inventory Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of November 2024, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 6.90, while Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 2.04. . As of the 25th of November 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 260.5 M, though Net Loss is likely to grow to (194.4 M).

Nano Dimension Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Nano Dimension's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2013-12-31
Previous Quarter
231.8 M
Current Value
213.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
346.1 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Nano Dimension is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Nano Dimension value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Nano Dimension Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nano Dimension on the next trading day is expected to be 2.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nano Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nano Dimension's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nano Dimension Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nano DimensionNano Dimension Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Nano Dimension Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nano Dimension's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nano Dimension's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 4.72, respectively. We have considered Nano Dimension's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.28
2.19
Expected Value
4.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nano Dimension stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nano Dimension stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.5791
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0466
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0204
SAESum of the absolute errors2.8456
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Nano Dimension. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Nano Dimension. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Nano Dimension

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nano Dimension. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nano Dimension's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.284.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.684.216.74
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.1010.0011.10
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nano Dimension

For every potential investor in Nano, whether a beginner or expert, Nano Dimension's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nano Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nano. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nano Dimension's price trends.

Nano Dimension Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nano Dimension stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nano Dimension could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nano Dimension by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nano Dimension Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nano Dimension's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nano Dimension's current price.

Nano Dimension Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nano Dimension stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nano Dimension shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nano Dimension stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nano Dimension entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nano Dimension Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nano Dimension's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nano Dimension's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nano stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Nano Dimension is a strong investment it is important to analyze Nano Dimension's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Nano Dimension's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Nano Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nano Dimension to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Nano Stock, please use our How to Invest in Nano Dimension guide.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nano Dimension. If investors know Nano will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nano Dimension listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.62)
Revenue Per Share
0.24
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.017
Return On Assets
(0.06)
Return On Equity
(0.15)
The market value of Nano Dimension is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nano that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nano Dimension's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nano Dimension's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nano Dimension's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nano Dimension's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nano Dimension's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nano Dimension is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nano Dimension's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.