Nanoco Group Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average

NNOCF Stock  USD 0.11  0.01  10.00%   
Nanoco Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Nanoco Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Nanoco Group's share price is at 51. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nanoco Group, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 51

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nanoco Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nanoco Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nanoco Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nanoco Group plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Nanoco Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nanoco Group plc from the perspective of Nanoco Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nanoco Group plc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.39.

Nanoco Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nanoco Group to cross-verify your projections.

Nanoco Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nanoco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nanoco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nanoco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Nanoco Group is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Nanoco Group Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nanoco Group plc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nanoco Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nanoco Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nanoco Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nanoco Group  Nanoco Group Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Nanoco Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nanoco Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nanoco Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 15.56, respectively. We have considered Nanoco Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.11
0.11
Expected Value
15.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nanoco Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nanoco Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.8333
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 5.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0066
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0673
SAESum of the absolute errors0.3945
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Nanoco Group plc price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Nanoco Group. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Nanoco Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nanoco Group plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nanoco Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1115.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0915.54
Details

Nanoco Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nanoco Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nanoco Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Nanoco Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nanoco Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nanoco Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nanoco Group's historical news coverage. Nanoco Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 15.56, respectively. We have considered Nanoco Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.11
0.11
After-hype Price
15.56
Upside
Nanoco Group is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nanoco Group plc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nanoco Group Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nanoco Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nanoco Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nanoco Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.68 
15.45
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.11
0.11
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Nanoco Group Hype Timeline

Nanoco Group plc is now traded for 0.11. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Nanoco is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.68%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nanoco Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.11. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Nanoco Group plc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nanoco Group to cross-verify your projections.

Nanoco Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nanoco Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nanoco Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Nanoco Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nanoco Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PRKRParkerVision 0.00 0 per month 7.55  0  18.18 (12.00) 36.67 
SODISolitron Devices 0.00 0 per month 1.23  0.11  4.22 (2.28) 9.39 
TERNFTern Plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ISDCFVerimatrix 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GARLFNetcoins Holdings 0.00 0 per month 3.55  0.13  8.33 (5.88) 22.60 
GNCLFGencell 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  80.00 
VRSSFVERSES AI 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.34) 9.84 (17.09) 31.31 
INXDFThe INX Digital 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 8.33 (7.69) 37.82 
BYLTFBaylin Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 5.26 (5.00) 23.38 
NOWGNowigence 0.00 0 per month 16.29  0.13  50.00 (33.33) 984.69 

Other Forecasting Options for Nanoco Group

For every potential investor in Nanoco, whether a beginner or expert, Nanoco Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nanoco Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nanoco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nanoco Group's price trends.

Nanoco Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nanoco Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nanoco Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nanoco Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nanoco Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nanoco Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nanoco Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nanoco Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Nanoco Group plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nanoco Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nanoco Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nanoco Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nanoco pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Nanoco Group

The number of cover stories for Nanoco Group depends on current market conditions and Nanoco Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nanoco Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nanoco Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Nanoco Pink Sheet

Nanoco Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nanoco Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nanoco with respect to the benefits of owning Nanoco Group security.