Nishi Nippon Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NNR Stock  EUR 14.30  0.20  1.42%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nishi Nippon Railroad Co on the next trading day is expected to be 14.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.60. Nishi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nishi Nippon's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Nishi Nippon is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Nishi Nippon Railroad Co value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Nishi Nippon Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nishi Nippon Railroad Co on the next trading day is expected to be 14.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nishi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nishi Nippon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nishi Nippon Stock Forecast Pattern

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Nishi Nippon Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nishi Nippon's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nishi Nippon's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.52 and 16.11, respectively. We have considered Nishi Nippon's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.30
14.82
Expected Value
16.11
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nishi Nippon stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nishi Nippon stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.9124
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1573
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0114
SAESum of the absolute errors9.5967
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Nishi Nippon Railroad Co. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Nishi Nippon. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Nishi Nippon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nishi Nippon Railroad. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.0014.3015.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4811.7815.73
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nishi Nippon

For every potential investor in Nishi, whether a beginner or expert, Nishi Nippon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nishi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nishi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nishi Nippon's price trends.

Nishi Nippon Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nishi Nippon stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nishi Nippon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nishi Nippon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nishi Nippon Railroad Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nishi Nippon's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nishi Nippon's current price.

Nishi Nippon Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nishi Nippon stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nishi Nippon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nishi Nippon stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nishi Nippon Railroad Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nishi Nippon Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nishi Nippon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nishi Nippon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nishi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Nishi Stock

Nishi Nippon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nishi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nishi with respect to the benefits of owning Nishi Nippon security.