Nobility Homes OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| NOBH Stock | USD 30.00 0.50 1.69% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nobility Homes on the next trading day is expected to be 29.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.29. Nobility OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nobility Homes' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 22nd of January 2026, The value of RSI of Nobility Homes' share price is at 50. This indicates that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nobility Homes, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Nobility Homes based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Nobility Homes hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nobility Homes from the perspective of Nobility Homes response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nobility Homes on the next trading day is expected to be 29.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.29. Nobility Homes after-hype prediction price | USD 30.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Nobility |
Nobility Homes Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nobility price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nobility using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nobility charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nobility Homes Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nobility Homes on the next trading day is expected to be 29.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59, mean absolute percentage error of 1.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nobility OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nobility Homes' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nobility Homes OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nobility Homes | Nobility Homes Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Nobility Homes Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nobility Homes' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nobility Homes' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.04 and 33.49, respectively. We have considered Nobility Homes' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nobility Homes otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nobility Homes otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.3409 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0103 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5882 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.02 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 35.2924 |
Predictive Modules for Nobility Homes
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nobility Homes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nobility Homes After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nobility Homes at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nobility Homes or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Nobility Homes, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nobility Homes Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nobility Homes' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nobility Homes' historical news coverage. Nobility Homes' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.28 and 33.72, respectively. We have considered Nobility Homes' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nobility Homes is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nobility Homes is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nobility Homes OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Nobility Homes is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nobility Homes backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nobility Homes, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 3.72 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
30.00 | 30.00 | 0.00 |
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Nobility Homes Hype Timeline
Nobility Homes is now traded for 30.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Nobility is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nobility Homes is about 3444.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.99. About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.87. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nobility Homes last dividend was issued on the 18th of March 2022. The entity had 11:10 split on the 13th of January 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nobility Homes to cross-verify your projections.Nobility Homes Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nobility Homes' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nobility Homes' future price movements. Getting to know how Nobility Homes' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nobility Homes may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TNPOF | Ten Pao Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SLOFF | Solstad Offshore ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.77 | |
| SAFS | Safer Shot | (0.27) | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NORSF | Norsk Titanium AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.23 | 0.03 | 16.67 | (15.38) | 63.03 | |
| NRSAF | Norse Atlantic ASA | (0.27) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.95 | (7.69) | 36.87 | |
| ADFJF | ADF Group | (0.27) | 9 per month | 2.00 | 0.06 | 4.37 | (3.98) | 18.32 | |
| DIALF | Dialight plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.20 | |
| LQMT | Liquidmetal Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 11.11 | (10.00) | 24.36 | |
| AMROF | Amaero International | (0.27) | 6 per month | 6.72 | 0.09 | 18.75 | (11.76) | 63.81 | |
| JNSTF | Jinhui Shipping and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nobility Homes
For every potential investor in Nobility, whether a beginner or expert, Nobility Homes' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nobility OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nobility. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nobility Homes' price trends.Nobility Homes Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nobility Homes otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nobility Homes could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nobility Homes by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nobility Homes Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nobility Homes otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nobility Homes shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nobility Homes otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nobility Homes entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Nobility Homes Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nobility Homes' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nobility Homes' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nobility otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.7 | |||
| Variance | 13.73 | |||
| Downside Variance | 42.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.77 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.59) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nobility Homes
The number of cover stories for Nobility Homes depends on current market conditions and Nobility Homes' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nobility Homes is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nobility Homes' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nobility Homes Short Properties
Nobility Homes' future price predictability will typically decrease when Nobility Homes' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nobility Homes often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nobility Homes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nobility Homes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.7 M |
Other Information on Investing in Nobility OTC Stock
Nobility Homes financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nobility OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nobility with respect to the benefits of owning Nobility Homes security.