ProShares SAMPP ETF Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| NOBL ETF | USD 105.67 -0.97 -0.91% |
The 4 Period Moving Average output for ProShares SAMPP 500 is derived from daily price data across the evaluation window. The error pattern reveals whether the model tracked prices consistently or diverged during volatile sessions. Parameters are re-estimated as new trading sessions are recorded, keeping the forecast current. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects ProShares SAMPP at 106.47 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. ProShares SAMPP's 4 Period Moving Average forecast is intended for short-term analytical reference.
4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts ProShares SAMPP at 106.47 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.84 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and sum of absolute errors of 48.03 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks ProShares SAMPP's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
ETF Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ProShares SAMPP | ProShares SAMPP Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The projected range for ProShares SAMPP reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. The current forecast range spans downside near 105.73 and upside near 107.21. The narrow range indicates limited short-term dispersion.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for ProShares SAMPP ETF. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.9443 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3153 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8427 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0078 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 48.035 |
Other Forecasting Options for ProShares SAMPP
Relative Strength Index values for ProShares SAMPP measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. Recognizing these clusters in ProShares SAMPP's returns informs position size and stop-loss calibration. Candlestick pattern analysis of ProShares SAMPP ETF daily data reveals short-term reversal or continuation signals.ProShares SAMPP Comparable Funds
The instruments listed below are comparable funds for ProShares SAMPP and provide a practical reference set. Useful comparisons usually include net asset value behavior, total return, volatility, distribution profile, and leverage.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ProShares SAMPP Market Strength Events
Accumulation/Distribution and Balance of Power for ProShares SAMPP reveal whether buying or selling pressure dominates recent sessions. Balance of Power trending positive indicates that buyers are consistently closing ProShares SAMPP near session highs. These signals help explain whether price direction and session structure are moving together for ProShares SAMPP.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 105.67 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 105.67 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.48 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.97 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 40.93 |
ProShares SAMPP Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for ProShares SAMPP quantifies how much price variability the ETF has exhibited over the measurement window. Downside variance exceeding total variance indicates that negative moves in ProShares SAMPP have been larger or more frequent than positive ones. Mean deviation provides a more intuitive measure of typical price fluctuation than variance because it stays in the same units as ProShares SAMPP's price.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5904 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7396 | |||
| Variance | 0.547 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
More Resources for ProShares SAMPP ETF Analysis
ProShares SAMPP's market price and NAV each provide useful but distinct information about the fund. These perspectives help frame the broad analytical context for the fund.
For ProShares SAMPP, NAV and trading price are complementary but distinct concepts shaped by different forces. In practice, ProShares SAMPP price is set by the continuous auction process on its listing exchange.