New Providence Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NPACW Stock   0.51  0.05  8.93%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of New Providence Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 0.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.80. New Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of New Providence's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of New Providence's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of New Providence and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from New Providence's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with New Providence Acquisition, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using New Providence hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of New Providence Acquisition from the perspective of New Providence response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of New Providence Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 0.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.80.

New Providence after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.51  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.

New Providence Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine New price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for New using various technical indicators. When you analyze New charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for New Providence is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of New Providence Acquisition value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

New Providence Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of New Providence Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 0.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict New Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that New Providence's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

New Providence Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest New ProvidenceNew Providence Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of New Providence stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent New Providence stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.5841
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0296
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0618
SAESum of the absolute errors1.8031
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of New Providence Acquisition. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict New Providence. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for New Providence

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Providence Acqui. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New Providence's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.510.510.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.410.410.56
Details

New Providence Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with New Providence stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of New Providence could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing New Providence by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

New Providence Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how New Providence stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading New Providence shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying New Providence stock market strength indicators, traders can identify New Providence Acquisition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for New Stock Analysis

When running New Providence's price analysis, check to measure New Providence's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New Providence is operating at the current time. Most of New Providence's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New Providence's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New Providence's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New Providence to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.