Verde Agritech Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| NPK Stock | CAD 1.40 0.08 5.41% |
Verde Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Verde Agritech's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Verde Agritech's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Verde Agritech fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Verde Agritech's share price is approaching 39. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Verde Agritech, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.97) | Wall Street Target Price 6.71 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.26) |
Using Verde Agritech hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Verde Agritech PLC from the perspective of Verde Agritech response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Verde Agritech PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 1.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.91. Verde Agritech after-hype prediction price | CAD 1.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Verde |
Verde Agritech Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Verde price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Verde using various technical indicators. When you analyze Verde charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Verde Agritech Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Verde Agritech PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 1.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Verde Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Verde Agritech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Verde Agritech Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Verde Agritech | Verde Agritech Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Verde Agritech Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Verde Agritech's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Verde Agritech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 8.88, respectively. We have considered Verde Agritech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Verde Agritech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Verde Agritech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.1663 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0121 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0833 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0605 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.915 |
Predictive Modules for Verde Agritech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verde Agritech PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Verde Agritech After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Verde Agritech at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Verde Agritech or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Verde Agritech, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Verde Agritech Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Verde Agritech's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Verde Agritech's historical news coverage. Verde Agritech's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 8.84, respectively. We have considered Verde Agritech's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Verde Agritech is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Verde Agritech PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Verde Agritech Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Verde Agritech is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Verde Agritech backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Verde Agritech, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.96 | 7.48 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.40 | 1.36 | 2.86 |
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Verde Agritech Hype Timeline
Verde Agritech PLC is now traded for 1.40on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Verde is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.36. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -2.86%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.96%. The volatility of related hype on Verde Agritech is about 62333.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.39. The book value of the company was now reported as 0.58. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.22. Verde Agritech PLC had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 20th of November 2001. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Verde Agritech to cross-verify your projections.Verde Agritech Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Verde Agritech's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Verde Agritech's future price movements. Getting to know how Verde Agritech's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Verde Agritech may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WAM | Western Alaska Minerals | 0.01 | 2 per month | 5.80 | 0.03 | 8.93 | (10.00) | 24.51 | |
| QZM | Quartz Mountain Resources | 0.03 | 4 per month | 4.18 | 0.18 | 7.94 | (6.45) | 36.13 | |
| NPR | North Peak Resources | 0.03 | 4 per month | 4.33 | 0.08 | 9.00 | (8.33) | 34.98 | |
| SRL | Salazar Resources Limited | (0.01) | 4 per month | 3.25 | 0.12 | 7.14 | (5.56) | 27.79 | |
| MRZ | Mirasol Resources | (0.01) | 4 per month | 4.48 | 0.09 | 7.32 | (4.84) | 54.07 | |
| AUM | AuMega Metals | 0.00 | 3 per month | 7.11 | 0.06 | 14.29 | (12.50) | 41.67 | |
| CRI | Churchill Resources | (0.08) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 14.29 | (15.38) | 53.85 | |
| GLDC | Cassiar Gold Corp | (0.03) | 2 per month | 5.49 | 0.08 | 12.90 | (12.20) | 34.58 | |
| AAN | Aton Resources | (0.05) | 4 per month | 4.07 | 0.13 | 14.00 | (10.00) | 54.46 | |
| SAM | Starcore International Mines | (0.01) | 6 per month | 5.53 | 0.18 | 14.41 | (12.04) | 35.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for Verde Agritech
For every potential investor in Verde, whether a beginner or expert, Verde Agritech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Verde Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Verde. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Verde Agritech's price trends.Verde Agritech Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Verde Agritech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Verde Agritech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Verde Agritech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Verde Agritech Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Verde Agritech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Verde Agritech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Verde Agritech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Verde Agritech PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Verde Agritech Risk Indicators
The analysis of Verde Agritech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Verde Agritech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting verde stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.34 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.41 | |||
| Variance | 54.98 | |||
| Downside Variance | 29.44 | |||
| Semi Variance | 23.16 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (7.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Verde Agritech
The number of cover stories for Verde Agritech depends on current market conditions and Verde Agritech's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Verde Agritech is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Verde Agritech's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Verde Agritech Short Properties
Verde Agritech's future price predictability will typically decrease when Verde Agritech's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Verde Agritech PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Verde Agritech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verde Agritech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.5 M |
Other Information on Investing in Verde Stock
Verde Agritech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Verde Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Verde with respect to the benefits of owning Verde Agritech security.