NPK International Stock Forward View
| NPKI Stock | 14.23 0.12 0.85% |
NPK Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of NPK International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 10th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of NPK International's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.059 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.105 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.395 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.54 | Wall Street Target Price 16.75 |
Using NPK International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NPK International from the perspective of NPK International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards NPK International using NPK International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards NPK using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of NPK International's stock price.
NPK International Implied Volatility | 1.56 |
NPK International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of NPK International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if NPK International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that NPK International stock will not fluctuate a lot when NPK International's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of NPK International on the next trading day is expected to be 13.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.62. NPK International after-hype prediction price | USD 14.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NPK International to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current NPK contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that NPK International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0975% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With NPK International trading at USD 14.23, that is roughly USD 0.0139 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating NPK International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring NPK International options at the current volatility level of 1.56%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 NPK Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast NPK International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in NPK International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for NPK International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current NPK International's open interest, investors have to compare it to NPK International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of NPK International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in NPK. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
NPK International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NPK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NPK using various technical indicators. When you analyze NPK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
NPK International Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the NPK International's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1990-09-30 | Previous Quarter 26 M | Current Value 35.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 30.3 M |
NPK International Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of NPK International on the next trading day is expected to be 13.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NPK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NPK International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
NPK International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest NPK International | NPK International Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
NPK International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting NPK International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NPK International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.05 and 15.47, respectively. We have considered NPK International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NPK International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NPK International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.1293 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3053 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0237 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.6223 |
Predictive Modules for NPK International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NPK International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NPK International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NPK International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NPK International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NPK International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NPK International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NPK International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NPK International's historical news coverage. NPK International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.99 and 16.41, respectively. We have considered NPK International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NPK International is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NPK International is based on 3 months time horizon.
NPK International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NPK International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NPK International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NPK International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 2.21 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.23 | 14.20 | 0.21 |
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NPK International Hype Timeline
NPK International is now traded for 14.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. NPK is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.2. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on NPK International is about 1905.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.25. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of NPK International was now reported as 3.95. The company last dividend was issued on the 11th of February 1983. NPK International had 2:1 split on the 28th of November 1997. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NPK International to cross-verify your projections.NPK International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NPK International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NPK International's future price movements. Getting to know how NPK International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NPK International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HLX | Helix Energy Solutions | 0.03 | 11 per month | 2.39 | 0.12 | 4.76 | (4.04) | 12.24 | |
| RES | RPC Inc | 0.15 | 12 per month | 3.53 | 0.01 | 5.14 | (3.19) | 23.85 | |
| TTI | Tetra Technologies | 0.67 | 9 per month | 2.71 | 0.22 | 5.99 | (4.75) | 16.56 | |
| MRC | MRC Global | (0.60) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.27 | (4.18) | 11.50 | |
| NESR | National Energy Services | 0.17 | 11 per month | 1.15 | 0.29 | 6.38 | (2.49) | 11.47 | |
| PUMP | ProPetro Holding Corp | (0.12) | 7 per month | 2.97 | 0.05 | 6.75 | (5.49) | 15.66 | |
| VTOL | Bristow Group | 0.54 | 9 per month | 2.02 | 0.03 | 3.37 | (3.15) | 7.10 | |
| NVGS | Navigator Holdings | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.99 | 0.06 | 3.08 | (2.30) | 8.39 | |
| DMLP | Dorchester Minerals LP | (0.01) | 8 per month | 1.34 | 0.03 | 3.20 | (2.56) | 6.61 | |
| ACDC | ProFrac Holding Corp | 0.29 | 9 per month | 4.98 | 0.03 | 8.48 | (7.02) | 24.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for NPK International
For every potential investor in NPK, whether a beginner or expert, NPK International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NPK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NPK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NPK International's price trends.NPK International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NPK International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NPK International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NPK International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
NPK International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NPK International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NPK International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NPK International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NPK International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 12871.82 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.375 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 14.17 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.12 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.12 |
NPK International Risk Indicators
The analysis of NPK International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NPK International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting npk stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Variance | 4.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.08 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.02) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for NPK International
The number of cover stories for NPK International depends on current market conditions and NPK International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NPK International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NPK International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NPK International Short Properties
NPK International's future price predictability will typically decrease when NPK International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NPK International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NPK International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NPK International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 87.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NPK International to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in NPK Stock please use our How to Invest in NPK International guide.You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is there potential for Oil & Gas Equipment & Services market expansion? Will NPK introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NPK International. Anticipated expansion of NPK directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about NPK International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.059 | Earnings Share 0.38 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.557 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate NPK International using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating NPK International's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause NPK International's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between NPK International's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding NPK International should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, NPK International's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.