Nippon Steel Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| NPS Stock | 3.51 0.00 0.00% |
Nippon Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Nippon Steel's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Nippon Steel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nippon Steel from the perspective of Nippon Steel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nippon Steel on the next trading day is expected to be 3.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Nippon Steel after-hype prediction price | EUR 3.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Nippon |
Nippon Steel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nippon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nippon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nippon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nippon Steel Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nippon Steel on the next trading day is expected to be 3.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nippon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nippon Steel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nippon Steel Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nippon Steel | Nippon Steel Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Nippon Steel Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nippon Steel's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nippon Steel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.51 and 3.51, respectively. We have considered Nippon Steel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nippon Steel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nippon Steel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Nippon Steel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nippon Steel. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nippon Steel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nippon Steel After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nippon Steel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nippon Steel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nippon Steel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nippon Steel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nippon Steel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nippon Steel's historical news coverage. Nippon Steel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.51 and 3.51, respectively. We have considered Nippon Steel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nippon Steel is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nippon Steel is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nippon Steel Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nippon Steel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nippon Steel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nippon Steel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.51 | 3.51 | 0.00 |
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Nippon Steel Hype Timeline
Nippon Steel is now traded for 3.51on Stuttgart Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Nippon is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nippon Steel is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.51. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.63. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nippon Steel had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 5:1 split on the 29th of September 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nippon Steel to cross-verify your projections.Nippon Steel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nippon Steel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nippon Steel's future price movements. Getting to know how Nippon Steel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nippon Steel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DAP | DANAHER | (0.54) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.14 | (2.62) | 7.27 | |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices | (5.60) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 6.33 | (5.57) | 24.55 | |
| 4I1 | Philip Morris International | 3.94 | 3 per month | 1.19 | 0.13 | 2.89 | (2.55) | 7.67 | |
| AMG | Amgen Inc | 2.78 | 9 per month | 1.55 | 0.07 | 3.98 | (2.86) | 10.70 | |
| HK2C | Hong Kong Exchanges | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.49 | (1.47) | 5.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nippon Steel
For every potential investor in Nippon, whether a beginner or expert, Nippon Steel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nippon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nippon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nippon Steel's price trends.Nippon Steel Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nippon Steel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nippon Steel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nippon Steel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nippon Steel Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nippon Steel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nippon Steel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nippon Steel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nippon Steel entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Nippon Steel
The number of cover stories for Nippon Steel depends on current market conditions and Nippon Steel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nippon Steel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nippon Steel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nippon Steel Short Properties
Nippon Steel's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nippon Steel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nippon Steel often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nippon Steel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nippon Steel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.2 B | |
| Dividends Paid | -162.1 B |
Additional Tools for Nippon Stock Analysis
When running Nippon Steel's price analysis, check to measure Nippon Steel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nippon Steel is operating at the current time. Most of Nippon Steel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nippon Steel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nippon Steel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nippon Steel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.