Nippon Television Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| NPTVF Stock | USD 24.97 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nippon Television Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 24.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.30. Nippon Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nippon Television's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 22nd of January 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Nippon Television's share price is above 80 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 100
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Nippon Television hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nippon Television Holdings from the perspective of Nippon Television response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nippon Television Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 24.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.30. Nippon Television after-hype prediction price | USD 24.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Nippon |
Nippon Television Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nippon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nippon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nippon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nippon Television Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nippon Television Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 24.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nippon Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nippon Television's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nippon Television Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nippon Television | Nippon Television Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Nippon Television Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nippon Television's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nippon Television's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.17 and 26.05, respectively. We have considered Nippon Television's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nippon Television pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nippon Television pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.8727 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2017 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0086 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.303 |
Predictive Modules for Nippon Television
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nippon Television. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nippon Television's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nippon Television After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nippon Television at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nippon Television or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Nippon Television, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nippon Television Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nippon Television's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nippon Television's historical news coverage. Nippon Television's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.53 and 26.41, respectively. We have considered Nippon Television's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nippon Television is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nippon Television is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nippon Television Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nippon Television is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nippon Television backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nippon Television, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 1.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.97 | 24.97 | 0.00 |
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Nippon Television Hype Timeline
Nippon Television is now traded for 24.97. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Nippon is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nippon Television is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.97. About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.33. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nippon Television last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. The entity had 10:1 split on the 26th of September 2012. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nippon Television to cross-verify your projections.Nippon Television Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nippon Television's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nippon Television's future price movements. Getting to know how Nippon Television's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nippon Television may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RGLXF | RTL Group SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RGLXY | RTL Group SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | (0.24) | 38.74 | |
| RTMVY | Rightmove Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 2.04 | (2.44) | 13.00 | |
| RTMVF | Rightmove plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 0.00 | (1.41) | 11.46 | |
| BZQIY | Bezeq Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 4.92 | 0.00 | 19.24 | |
| TELDF | Telefnica Deutschland Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.38 | |
| QBCRF | Quebecor | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.73 | 0.09 | 2.98 | (1.67) | 6.24 | |
| FJTNF | Fuji Media Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AXXTF | Axiata Group Berhad | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| QBCAF | Quebecor | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nippon Television
For every potential investor in Nippon, whether a beginner or expert, Nippon Television's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nippon Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nippon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nippon Television's price trends.Nippon Television Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nippon Television pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nippon Television could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nippon Television by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nippon Television Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nippon Television pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nippon Television shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nippon Television pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Nippon Television Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Nippon Television Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nippon Television's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nippon Television's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nippon pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4341 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Variance | 2.08 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nippon Television
The number of cover stories for Nippon Television depends on current market conditions and Nippon Television's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nippon Television is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nippon Television's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nippon Television Short Properties
Nippon Television's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nippon Television's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nippon Television Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nippon Television's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nippon Television's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 255.1 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 2.6 B |
Other Information on Investing in Nippon Pink Sheet
Nippon Television financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nippon Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nippon with respect to the benefits of owning Nippon Television security.