Nippon Carbon Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| NPV Stock | EUR 26.60 0.60 2.31% |
Nippon Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Nippon Carbon's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 17th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Nippon Carbon's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.80) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
Using Nippon Carbon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nippon Carbon Co from the perspective of Nippon Carbon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Nippon Carbon Co on the next trading day is expected to be 26.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.76. Nippon Carbon after-hype prediction price | EUR 26.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Nippon |
Nippon Carbon Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nippon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nippon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nippon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nippon Carbon Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Nippon Carbon Co on the next trading day is expected to be 26.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nippon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nippon Carbon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nippon Carbon Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nippon Carbon | Nippon Carbon Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Nippon Carbon Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nippon Carbon's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nippon Carbon's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.12 and 27.77, respectively. We have considered Nippon Carbon's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nippon Carbon stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nippon Carbon stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.1638 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1764 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0073 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.7634 |
Predictive Modules for Nippon Carbon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nippon Carbon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nippon Carbon After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nippon Carbon at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nippon Carbon or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nippon Carbon, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nippon Carbon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nippon Carbon's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nippon Carbon's historical news coverage. Nippon Carbon's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.77 and 27.43, respectively. We have considered Nippon Carbon's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nippon Carbon is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nippon Carbon is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nippon Carbon Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nippon Carbon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nippon Carbon backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nippon Carbon, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 0.82 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 4 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
26.60 | 26.60 | 0.00 |
|
Nippon Carbon Hype Timeline
Nippon Carbon is now traded for 26.60on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Nippon is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nippon Carbon is about 809.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.62. About 24.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.98. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nippon Carbon last dividend was issued on the 29th of June 2026. The entity had 1:10 split on the 28th of June 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nippon Carbon to cross-verify your projections.Nippon Carbon Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nippon Carbon's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nippon Carbon's future price movements. Getting to know how Nippon Carbon's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nippon Carbon may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 1HTA | Hyatt Hotels | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.43 | 0.07 | 4.19 | (2.76) | 11.71 | |
| 6GD0 | MyHotelMatch SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.35 | (7.14) | 34.97 | |
| D6H | DATAGROUP SE | 0.70 | 4 per month | 0.69 | 0.05 | 1.64 | (0.85) | 3.56 | |
| MEL | MELIA HOTELS | (0.09) | 3 per month | 1.30 | 0.08 | 2.76 | (2.28) | 6.56 | |
| PUP0 | PUBLIC STORAGE PRFO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.94 | (0) | 2.29 | (1.54) | 7.74 | |
| HMT | Host Hotels Resorts | 0.20 | 7 per month | 1.52 | 0.07 | 3.31 | (3.36) | 11.40 | |
| IC1H | InterContinental Hotels Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.16 | 0.1 | 4.39 | (2.54) | 8.03 | |
| CZH | Choice Hotels International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.73 | 0.10 | 4.76 | (3.43) | 10.18 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nippon Carbon
For every potential investor in Nippon, whether a beginner or expert, Nippon Carbon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nippon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nippon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nippon Carbon's price trends.Nippon Carbon Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nippon Carbon stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nippon Carbon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nippon Carbon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nippon Carbon Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nippon Carbon stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nippon Carbon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nippon Carbon stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nippon Carbon Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 26.6 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 26.6 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.3 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.6 |
Nippon Carbon Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nippon Carbon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nippon Carbon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nippon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6675 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.3337 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8718 | |||
| Variance | 0.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.05 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1114 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.24) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nippon Carbon
The number of cover stories for Nippon Carbon depends on current market conditions and Nippon Carbon's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nippon Carbon is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nippon Carbon's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in Nippon Stock
Nippon Carbon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nippon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nippon with respect to the benefits of owning Nippon Carbon security.