Nuveen Pennsylvania Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| NQP Fund | USD 11.77 0.01 0.08% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Nuveen Pennsylvania Quality on the next trading day is expected to be 11.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.94. Nuveen Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Nuveen |
Nuveen Pennsylvania Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Nuveen Pennsylvania Quality on the next trading day is expected to be 11.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nuveen Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nuveen Pennsylvania's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nuveen Pennsylvania Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nuveen Pennsylvania | Nuveen Pennsylvania Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Nuveen Pennsylvania Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nuveen Pennsylvania's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nuveen Pennsylvania's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.35 and 12.34, respectively. We have considered Nuveen Pennsylvania's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nuveen Pennsylvania fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nuveen Pennsylvania fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.5358 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0483 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.004 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.9436 |
Predictive Modules for Nuveen Pennsylvania
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuveen Pennsylvania. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Nuveen Pennsylvania
For every potential investor in Nuveen, whether a beginner or expert, Nuveen Pennsylvania's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nuveen Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nuveen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nuveen Pennsylvania's price trends.Nuveen Pennsylvania Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nuveen Pennsylvania fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nuveen Pennsylvania could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nuveen Pennsylvania by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nuveen Pennsylvania Technical and Predictive Analytics
The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nuveen Pennsylvania's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nuveen Pennsylvania's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Nuveen Pennsylvania Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nuveen Pennsylvania fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nuveen Pennsylvania shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nuveen Pennsylvania fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Nuveen Pennsylvania Quality entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Nuveen Pennsylvania Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nuveen Pennsylvania's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nuveen Pennsylvania's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nuveen fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.378 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4933 | |||
| Variance | 0.2434 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Nuveen Pennsylvania
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Nuveen Pennsylvania position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Nuveen Pennsylvania will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Nuveen Fund
| 0.79 | BTO | John Hancock Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | VIGAX | Vanguard Growth Index | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | TTP | Tortoise Pipeline And | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | LTFOX | Lord Abbett Affiliated | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | EMO | Clearbridge Energy Mlp | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Nuveen Pennsylvania could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Nuveen Pennsylvania when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Nuveen Pennsylvania - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Nuveen Pennsylvania Quality to buy it.
The correlation of Nuveen Pennsylvania is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Nuveen Pennsylvania moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Nuveen Pennsylvania moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Nuveen Pennsylvania can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Nuveen Fund
Nuveen Pennsylvania financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nuveen Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nuveen with respect to the benefits of owning Nuveen Pennsylvania security.
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Idea Optimizer Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio |